314650

Bayesian Classification of Multivariate Autoregressive Sources with Unknown Order.

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Last updated: 11 May 2025

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Abstract

The objective of this paper is to present a Bayesian classification technique that can be used to classify a multivariate time series realization into one of several multivariate autoregressive sources. The main assumption here is that the sources share a common unknown order. This is to be closer to the real situations, whereas the order of a process is usually unknown or at least, has to be estimated. Hence, the order of the processes will be regarded as a nuisance parameter that has a maximum known value. The proposed technique is based on deriving the marginal posterior mass function of a classification vector, then one can assign the multivariate realization to the r-th multivariate source whenever the posterior mass function of the classification vector has its largest value at the r-th mass point. A simulation technique is carried out to study the numerical efficiency of the proposed classification technique. The simulation studies the behavior of the technique with respect to time series length, the maximum value assumed to the order of the process, and the parameter values, on the performance of the proposed technique.

DOI

10.21608/esju.1997.314650

Keywords

Bayesian Classification, Mass Function, Multivariate Autoregressive Sources, Multivariate Time Series, Unknown Order

Authors

First Name

Samir

Last Name

Shaarawy

MiddleName

M.

Affiliation

Faculty of Economics & Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt

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Orcid

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First Name

Ahmed

Last Name

Daif

MiddleName

L.

Affiliation

Faculty of Economics & Political Science, Cairo University,Egypt

Email

a.l.daif@hotmail.com

City

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Orcid

-

First Name

Mona

Last Name

EL Shafy

MiddleName

A.

Affiliation

Faculty of Economics & Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt

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-

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Orcid

-

Volume

41

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

43146

Issue Date

1997-12-01

Publish Date

1997-12-01

Page Start

205

Page End

221

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_314650.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=314650

Order

9

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Bayesian Classification of Multivariate Autoregressive Sources with Unknown Order.

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024