314456

The Application of Neural Networks to Forecast Fuzzy Time Series

Article

Last updated: 27 Apr 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Multilevel models
Statistical inference
Time -series analysis

Abstract

This study applies a back-propagation neural network to forecast fuzzy time series. Three models are proposed; a conventional fuzzy time series model and two hybrid models. Hybrid1 model uses a neural network approach to establish fuzzy relationships in fuzzy time series and hybrid2 model uses a neural network approach to improve forecasts from the conventional fuzzy time series model. The daily prices of golden pound for October 2014 were chosen as the forecasting target. The empirical results show that the hybrid2 model outperforms both the conventional fuzzy time series and the hybrid1 models.
 

DOI

10.21608/esju.2015.314456

Keywords

Back-propagation, Forecasting - Golden Pound - Fuzzy Time Series

Authors

First Name

Amaal

Last Name

El sayed Abd El Ghany Mubarak

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Damietta university, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

59

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

42963

Issue Date

2015-06-01

Publish Date

2015-06-01

Page Start

57

Page End

67

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_314456.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=314456

Order

5

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Application of Neural Networks to Forecast Fuzzy Time Series

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024