Beta
189433

A Bayesian Procedure to Identify the Orders of Vector Moving Average Processes with Seasonality

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

-

Abstract

This article develops an approximate Bayesian procedure to identify the orders of vector moving average processes with seasonality. The proposed is based on approximating the likelihood function by a matrix normal – Wishart on the parameter space. Combining the approximate likelihood function with normal-Wishart or Jeffrey's' vague prior and using an indirect Bayesian technique to estimate initial values for the orders, the joint posterior mass function of the orders is developed in a convenient from. Then one may examine the posterior probabilities over the grid of the orders and select the orders at which the posterior mass function attains its maximum to be identified orders. Five simulation studies, with three different prior distributions for the order, are conducted to demonstrate the performance of the proposed procedure and check its adequacy and applicability in solving the identification problem. The numerical results support using the proposed procedure to identify the orders of vector moving average processes with seasonality.

DOI

10.21608/esju.2021.189433

Keywords

identification, Seasonal vector moving average processes, Matrix normal Wishart distribution, Matrix t distribution

Volume

64

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

26946

Issue Date

2020-06-01

Receive Date

2021-08-15

Publish Date

2020-06-01

Page Start

1

Page End

20

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_189433.html

Detail API

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=189433

Order

1

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

A Bayesian Procedure to Identify the Orders of Vector Moving Average Processes with Seasonality

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023