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217591

اثر تداولات التغذية العکسية على سلوک الاسعار في سوق الاسهم المصرية تحليل لبنية الارتباط الذاتي

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Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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مجالات العلوم التجارية وهى فروع الإدارة والمحاسبة والاقتصاد والعلوم السياسية والإحصاء التطبيقي والتأمين

Abstract

This paper provides empirical evidence on the significant effect of non-fundamental trading or feedback trading on the prices behavior in the Egyptian stock market while the period from 2003 to 2013. Relying on the Shiller - Sentana - Wadhwani model, ( Shiller 1984 ) – ( Sentana and Wadhwani 1992 ) the paper uses the link between EGX30 returns autocorrelation and the volatility in this returns to interpreting the autocorrelation pattern in Egyptian stock returns and linking this pattern to inefficiency factors such as feedback trading. The empirical findings shows significant presence for both types - positive and negative - of feedback traders in the Egyptian stock market. While periods of high volatility positive feedback traders can dominate the prices and this domination appears as a negative autocorrelation in return series. This strong effect for feedback trading ( positive and negative ) confirming market inefficiency. The effect of positive feedback trading - which most able to lead prices away form equilibrium levels - was captured despite the absence of trading mechanisms which support the behavior of positive feedback traders such as " short silling " and despite the small size of "margin trading " in Egyptian stock market while the period of research which confirming the strength of this type of trading in Egyotion stock market.

DOI

10.21608/alat.2016.217591

Authors

First Name

سعد

Last Name

السيد ابراهيم الشريف

MiddleName

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Affiliation

کلية التجارة - جامعة المنصورة

Email

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

حمدي

Last Name

احمد علي الهنداوي

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

کلية التجارة - جامعة المنصورة

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

محمد

Last Name

احمد فؤاد سلطان

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

کلية التجارة - جامعة المنصورة

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

40

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

30956

Issue Date

2016-04-01

Receive Date

2016-04-06

Publish Date

2016-04-01

Page Start

375

Page End

397

Print ISSN

1110-2284

Online ISSN

2785-9703

Link

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/article_217591.html

Detail API

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=217591

Order

10

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,832

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للدراسات التجارية

Publication Link

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

اثر تداولات التغذية العکسية على سلوک الاسعار في سوق الاسهم المصرية تحليل لبنية الارتباط الذاتي

Details

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Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023