245813

Modern Decline Curve Analysis of Unconventional Reservoirs: A Comparative Study Using Actual Data

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Abstract

Petroleum consumption increases around the world and production of conventional reservoirs can't cover the increased demand. So, producing unconventional resources is an imperative necessity. Unconventional resources are characterized by very low permeability. Drilling horizontal wells in these resources and completed them with multiple hydraulic fractures make the reservoir. Hydraulic fractures work as paths for hydrocarbon to flow toward the wellbore to achieve an economic production rate. Production behaviour of these wells is characterized by long-term transient flow followed by boundary-dominated flow. Many decline curve analysis models have been developed to simulate this behaviour, but none of them can capture all flow-regime types. This paper reviewed the most popular and used decline curve analysis models: Arps model, power-law exponential model, stretched exponential production decline model, T-model, logistic growth model, Duong model, Yu-Miocevic model and extended exponential decline curve. This paper summarized the origins, derivations and assumptions of these eight models. This paper also presents a comparative study of these models using production data from unconventional gas and oil reservoirs. To facilitate conducting this study, the eight decline curve analysis models were programmed in a software application written in python language. This software application calibrated models' parameters to production data using trust region reflective algorithm. The value of estimated ultimate recovery predicted using this software application is consistent with that predicted using the linear flow analysis model. The comparative study can serve as a guideline for petroleum engineers to determine when to use each model.

DOI

10.21608/jpme.2022.128147.1123

Keywords

Unconventional reservoir, Decline Curve Analysis, Hydraulic Fracturing, field data, Comparison

Authors

First Name

Ali

Last Name

Wahba

MiddleName

Moustafa

Affiliation

Petroleum Engineering Department, Faculty of Petroleum and Mining Engineering, Suez University, Suez, Egypt

Email

a.wahba@suezuni.edu.eg

City

Benha

Orcid

0000-0001-8695-0469

First Name

Hamid

Last Name

Khattab

MiddleName

Mohamed

Affiliation

Petroleum Engineering Department, Faculty of Petroleum and Mining Engineering, Suez University, Suez, Egypt

Email

hamid.khattab@pme.suezuni.edu.eg

City

Suez

Orcid

-

First Name

Mahmoud

Last Name

Tantawy

MiddleName

Abdo

Affiliation

Petroleum Engineering Department, Faculty of Petroleum and Mining Engineering, Suez University, Suez, Egypt

Email

mahmoud.tantawy@pme.suezuni.edu.eg

City

Cairo

Orcid

-

First Name

Ahmed

Last Name

Gawish

MiddleName

Ahmed

Affiliation

Petroleum Engineering Department, Faculty of Petroleum and Mining Engineering, Suez University, Suez, Egypt

Email

ahmed.gawish@pme.suezuni.edu.eg

City

Suez

Orcid

-

Volume

24

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

35783

Issue Date

2022-06-01

Receive Date

2022-03-18

Publish Date

2022-06-01

Page Start

51

Page End

65

Print ISSN

1110-6506

Online ISSN

2682-3292

Link

https://jpme.journals.ekb.eg/article_245813.html

Detail API

https://jpme.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=245813

Order

6

Type

Review Article

Type Code

2,138

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Petroleum and Mining Engineering

Publication Link

https://jpme.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Modern Decline Curve Analysis of Unconventional Reservoirs: A Comparative Study Using Actual Data

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023