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172052

A Standard Study to Estimate the Demand and Supply of Maize in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 03 Jan 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

The agricultural sector is the main pillar of the Egyptian economic structure, as it represents main source of food and clothing. In addition, it contributes to of the national income and Egypt faces a deficit in agricultural production, on the other hand consumption exceeds local production, and food is considered a vital necessity for people that cannot be dispensed. This research includes the statistical assessment of the macroeconomic econometric model of the variables of demand and supply of maize during the period (2005-2019), and the problem has become one of the most important problems threatening development in Egypt It has dangerous dimensions for the agricultural sector in particular and for the Egyptian economy in general, and that Egypt is still suffering from a food gap in most food commodities in a way that threatens Egyptian food security, as the equation of imports of corn shows that the volume of imports decreases by about 0.31%, 0.70% each An increase in the import price in dollars per ton, the average per capita production of the current year by 1%, meaning that the most influential variable in the volume of imports of corn in a particular year was the import price in dollars per ton, the average per capita production. It was also found that about 65% of the changes in imports of corn are due to the change in the independent variables under study, and that the average imports, production, and consumption of maize during the same period is 10.39, 6.67, 17.60 million tons, respectively, 15 % increase in the import price causes decreased in the quantity imported by 0.31%, The average of imports, production, and consumption of maize during the same period was 10.66, 7.70 and 17.80 million tons, respectively.

DOI

10.21608/ajs.2021.53953.1312

Keywords

Realization, Forecast, demand, supply, Maize

Authors

First Name

Mahmoud

Last Name

Hassan Abdallah

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt

Email

samierm677@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

0000-0002-1231-8556

First Name

Mosaad

Last Name

Ragab

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt

Email

asmaasc@agr.asu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

AbdelFatah

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.

Email

drmosman2020@yahoo.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

El-Sayed

Last Name

El-Khishin

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics Department, Higher Institute for Agricultural Cooperation,Cairo, Egypt

Email

elkhishinss@gmail.com

City

Cairo

Orcid

0000-0002-8730-1775

Volume

29

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

25482

Issue Date

2021-04-01

Receive Date

2020-12-16

Publish Date

2021-04-01

Page Start

101

Page End

113

Print ISSN

1110-2675

Online ISSN

2636-3585

Link

https://ajs.journals.ekb.eg/article_172052.html

Detail API

https://ajs.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=172052

Order

156

Type

Original Article

Type Code

668

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Arab Universities Journal of Agricultural Sciences

Publication Link

https://ajs.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

A Standard Study to Estimate the Demand and Supply of Maize in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023