426282

The Impact of Population Growth on Economic Development: An ARDL Model Analysis Applied on Japan and Ethiopia.

Article

Last updated: 11 May 2025

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-

Tags

الاقتصاد

Abstract

The relationship between population growth and economic development is controversial. The purpose of this paper is to test the link between population growth measured by the fertility rate and the economic development measured by the GDP per capita in Japan as a developed country and in Ethiopia as a non-developed one. The autoregressive distributed lags model ARDL is applied on Ethiopia and Japan for the period 1991-2022. Causality between variables is tested using granger causality test and the coefficient of correlation is calculated. The findings are the existence of a significant inverse causal relation between the population growth and the economic development in Ethiopia in the short run and the long run. However, there is no significant causal relation in Japan. The study conducted tests to assess the reliability of the model such as serial correlation, heteroskedasticity, normality, and stability tests. The results indicated that the model was stable. Furthermore, there were no indications of serial correlation or heteroskedasticity

DOI

10.21608/jso.2024.314317.1348

Keywords

fertility rate, economic development, ARDL, . Japan Ethiopia

Authors

First Name

Rania

Last Name

Ramadan Moawad Mohamed

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

جامعة المستقبل Future University in Egypt

Email

rania.moawad@fue.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

0009-0004-2014-5423

Volume

43

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

54744

Issue Date

2025-04-01

Receive Date

2024-08-21

Publish Date

2025-04-01

Print ISSN

1110-225X

Online ISSN

3062-4770

Link

https://jso.journals.ekb.eg/article_426282.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=426282

Order

426,282

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,074

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة البحوث الإدارية

Publication Link

https://jso.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Impact of Population Growth on Economic Development: An ARDL Model Analysis Applied on Japan and Ethiopia.

Details

Type

Article

Created At

11 May 2025