424679

Economic Evaluation of Bivalves in Egypt: A Potential for Aquaculture Production

Article

Last updated: 04 May 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Veterinary Economics

Abstract

This study investigates how landing sites (Mediterranean Sea, Red Sea, and Bitter Lakes) and temporal trends affect bivalve production quantity (tons) in Egypt over an eleven-year period (2009–2019). Also, to forecast bivalves' production to investigate investment opportunities in this sector. Data were obtained from official national records, including the General Authority for Fish Resources Development (GAFRD) and the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS). A mixed effects model (MEM) was used to evaluate regional differences and time effects on production. Results revealed that region was a significant determinant of bivalve production, with the Mediterranean Sea demonstrating notable growth, while Bitter Lakes and the Red Sea remained stable. To forecast future production, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were fitted separately for each region. ARIMA projections indicated a potential production decline in the Mediterranean region despite its past growth, whereas Bitter Lakes maintained steady output, and the Red Sea exhibited persistently low production levels. It is concluded that integrating MEM and ARIMA methodologies provides a comprehensive framework for understanding and forecasting bivalve production, informing resource management and policy decisions. The findings underscore the importance of site-specific fisheries management and suggest that adaptive strategies may be required to sustain growth in the Mediterranean region, maintain stability in Bitter Lakes, restore bivalves' population, and explore alternative economic activities for the Red Sea. Many bivalves are adapted to the Egyptian fisheries which suggests the high potential for aquaculture production

DOI

10.21608/scvmj.2025.373749.1197

Keywords

Aquaculture, bivalves, Mixed effects model

Authors

First Name

Mostafa

Last Name

Mandour

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Animal Wealth Development, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Suez Canal University, Ismailia 41522, Egypt

Email

mostafa_mandour@vet.suez.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Sebaq

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

1-Department of Animal Wealth Development, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Suez canal university. 2- Agricultural Economics Department, University of Nebraska-Lincoln

Email

msebaq2@huskers.unl.edu

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Rania

Last Name

Hassan

MiddleName

A.

Affiliation

Department of Animal Wealth Development, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Suez Canal University, Ismailia 41522, Egypt

Email

rania_tamer_178@yahoo.com

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

30

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

53798

Issue Date

2025-06-01

Receive Date

2025-04-08

Publish Date

2025-06-30

Page Start

119

Page End

129

Print ISSN

1110-6298

Online ISSN

2682-3284

Link

https://scvmj.journals.ekb.eg/article_424679.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=424679

Order

82

Type

Original Article

Type Code

992

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Suez Canal Veterinary Medical Journal. SCVMJ

Publication Link

https://scvmj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Economic Evaluation of Bivalves in Egypt: A Potential for Aquaculture Production

Details

Type

Article

Created At

04 May 2025