415963

Systematic and Unsystematic Credit Risk Determinants in the Egyptian Commercial Banking Sector: An Empirical Study

Article

Last updated: 27 Apr 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

This research investigates the factors influencing systematic and unsystematic credit risk within the Egyptian commercial banking sector through an empirical analysis. The study utilized an empirical approach, gathering secondary data spanning the years 2010 to 2022. To accomplish this, the study formulated nine hypotheses and employed an empirical random panel data regression model. The investigative results affirm the validity of the five hypotheses with theory. Three hypotheses contradict with the prevailing theory and partially agree with some literature. The rest hypothesis is rejected. Future research should explore alternative models of credit risk determinants to gain a broader perspective by including diverse time periods and banking sectors beyond commercial banks. Additionally, incorporating significant political and market events, such as the Egyptian revolutions, the 2016-pound floatation, the COVID-19 pandemic, and ongoing conflicts, could provide deeper insights into their impact on credit risk. Lastly, investigating bidirectional effects between research variables using Granger causality tests or the Toda and Yamamoto method could help elucidate the causal relationships and interactions between systematic and unsystematic factors that impact credit risk within the Egyptian commercial banking sector.

DOI

10.21608/caf.2025.415963

Keywords

Credit Risk, Systematic (Macroeconomic) Determinants, Unsystematic (Bank Specific) Determinants, Commercial Banking Sector, Random Panel Data Regression Model, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Ahmed Hassan Elsayed

Last Name

Elgayar

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

کلية التجارة (شعبة اللغة الإنجليزية) - جامعة طنطا

Email

ahmed_elgayar@commerce.tanta.edu.eg

City

طنطا

Orcid

0000-0002-2548-3040

Volume

45

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

55286

Issue Date

2025-03-01

Receive Date

2025-03-06

Publish Date

2025-03-01

Page Start

75

Page End

117

Print ISSN

1110-4716

Online ISSN

2682-4825

Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/article_415963.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=415963

Order

415,963

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,288

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

التجارة والتمويل

Publication Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Systematic and Unsystematic Credit Risk Determinants in the Egyptian Commercial Banking Sector: An Empirical Study

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Article

Created At

27 Apr 2025