ABSTRACT

This study investigates household electricity consumption patterns in Egypt, focusing on behavioral differences during the social/religious season of Ramadan compared to regular non-Ramadan days. Utilizing data from smart meters and temperature records, a probabilistic analysis was conducted to identify key consumption trends influenced by cultural and environmental factors. The independent variables considered in this study include Weather temperature, Time of day, Demographic factors such as season/events, and Location. The research aims to segment consumers in selected geographic areas based on their overall yearly consumption. The behavior of each segment is analyzed throughout the day to assess their responsiveness to the independent variables.

Findings reveal significant differences in consumption patterns driven by daily routines during Ramadan. Synchronization of household activities, such as cooking, heating, and cooling, leads to distinct peaks in energy demand that align with typical daily schedules. This study underscores how routine activities significantly influence consumption patterns, corroborating observations made during both regular days and Ramadan.

To the best of the authors' knowledge, this research is the first of its kind in Egypt. The findings are expected to be valuable, as they represent the initial attempt to analyze power consumption behavior using microdata obtained through the smart metering system from approximately 20,000 households. This data became available after the first phase of the Smart Metering System was implemented for EEHC