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416299

Proposed Loss Functions for Accurate Prediction of Terrorist Event Locations in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 09 Mar 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Computers and Automatic Control Engineering

Abstract

At the last decades, human security is threatened by terrorism. A rapidly growing field of study aims to understand terrorist attack patterns for counter-terrorism policies. Terrorist attacks can be analyzed and predicted with detailed historical data for better prevention and early warning. In this research, we use predicting geolocation in an open area space. It is aimed to predict the terrorist action location before it being occurred. Two novel ideas are presented in this research. The first idea is using spherical-distance measurements between two points instead of traditional straight-line distance measurements as previously used in predicting locations. Spherical-distance measurements depends on coordinate-form(x,y). The second proposed idea is coupling geolocation-functions to famous loss functions, like Mean Square Error (MSE) loss function to achieve accurate performance. The proposed geolocation-functions are “Haversine formula", and “Equirectangular Projection formula". The two proposed geolocation loss functions are hybrid to MSE loss function. The deep learning algorithm, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is used for training our model. Experimental results show that the proposed loss functions achieved high accuracy compared to the traditional one. In this research, we use dataset of terrorist events in Egypt.

DOI

10.21608/jctae.2025.364093.1045

Keywords

Deep learning, Long Short-Term Memory, loss function, Haversine formula, Terrorist events location prediction

Authors

First Name

Ghada

Last Name

Hamisa

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Electrical Engineering Dpt., Faculty of Engineering, Kaferelsheikh, Egypt.

Email

ghada.hemesa@eng.kfs.edu.eg

City

Kafrekshiekh

Orcid

-

First Name

Loai

Last Name

Abdalslam

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Computer Science Developer, Alexandria, Egypt

Email

m01096661670@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

3

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

54337

Issue Date

2025-03-01

Receive Date

2025-02-26

Publish Date

2025-03-08

Page Start

103

Page End

113

Print ISSN

2812-5797

Online ISSN

2812-5800

Link

https://jctae.journals.ekb.eg/article_416299.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=416299

Order

416,299

Type

Original Article

Type Code

2,367

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Contemporary Technology and Applied Engineering

Publication Link

https://jctae.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Proposed Loss Functions for Accurate Prediction of Terrorist Event Locations in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

09 Mar 2025