414661

Effects of Inflation Threshold on Economic Growth In Egypt (Comparative study with Algeria, Morroco and Tunisia)

Article

Last updated: 09 Mar 2025

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Abstract

This study aims to investigate the existence of a non-linear relationship between economic growth and inflation in a group of Egypt, Tunisia, Algeria and Morocco, in addition to estimating the inflation threshold in these economies, which are very similar in their productive structures, and sufficient and related data are available for them. The study used panel data for the period 1970-2021, obtained from the World Bank database published on the Internet. Methodologically, a discrete threshold estimation method was used, which estimates this threshold using the fixed-effects method. The results showed that a non- linear relationship could be captured between economic growth and inflation in these countries combined, and it was found that there is only one threshold for inflation. The inflation-growth threshold was estimated at 14.153%. As the relationship between inflation and growth will be positive if inflation is below the threshold and inverse if inflation is above the threshold. The study recommends that economic policy makers in these countries follow monetary and fiscal policies that lead to the inflation rates not moving away from the estimated threshold. 

DOI

10.21608/masf.2024.414661

Authors

First Name

Khalid Mosaad

Last Name

Hamza

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Assistant Lecturer in Economics - Faculty of Economics and Management October 6 University

Email

khalidhamza.eco@o6u.edu.eg

City

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Orcid

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Volume

16

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

54107

Issue Date

2024-12-01

Receive Date

2024-12-01

Publish Date

2024-12-01

Page Start

737

Page End

769

Print ISSN

2682-2113

Online ISSN

2682-2121

Link

https://masf.journals.ekb.eg/article_414661.html

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http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=414661

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5

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

863

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والإدارية‎

Publication Link

https://masf.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Effects of Inflation Threshold on Economic Growth In Egypt (Comparative study with Algeria, Morroco and Tunisia)

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Article

Created At

09 Mar 2025