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399279

New Sigmoid Growth Models Based on the Gompertz Exponential Distribution .

Article

Last updated: 20 Jan 2025

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Abstract

     Many natural events with an S-shaped sigmoidal curve can be well described using sigmoid growth models. Sigmoid growth models are considered one of the most important and most widely used non-linear models in describing the most natural phenomena that have a sigmoidal growth curve in several disciplines such as the physical, chemical, biological, and social sciences.  The purpose of the article is to suggested two new sigmoid growth models using two different techniques based on the Gompertz Exponential ( GoE ) distribution and comparison between them. The parameters of the suggested models are estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation technique. Through a Monte Carlo simulation and application utilizing Egypt's external debt data, the effectiveness of the newly presented models is examined and contrasted with some existing sigmoid growth such as Gompertz, and exponential models to explain the growth. Results showed that the recently suggested Transmuted Gompertz Exponential sigmoid growth model, and Gompertz Exponential sigmoid growth model are better than to the other models

DOI

10.21608/caf.2024.399279

Keywords

External Debt, Sigmoid growth model, non-linear regression model, Gompertz model, Exponential Model, Gompertz Exponential distribution, Maximum likelihood

Authors

First Name

Noha EL-Hossiny Abu EL-Saud Abd

Last Name

Al-Rahman

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Statistics, Faculty of Commerce (Girls’ Branch), Al-Azhar University, Tafahna Al-Ashraf, Egypt.

Email

noha@azhar.edu.eg

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Orcid

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Volume

44

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

53112

Issue Date

2024-12-01

Receive Date

2024-09-23

Publish Date

2025-01-01

Page Start

196

Page End

221

Print ISSN

1110-4716

Online ISSN

2682-4825

Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/article_399279.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=399279

Order

399,279

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

التجارة والتمويل

Publication Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

New Sigmoid Growth Models Based on the Gompertz Exponential Distribution .

Details

Type

Article

Created At

20 Jan 2025