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403076

Navigating Country Risk: Impacts on Foreign Direct and Portfolio Investment in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 07 Jan 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

This study examines the impact of country risk on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) inflows into Egypt from 1998 to 2022. Country risk is analyzed through its economic, financial, and political dimensions. Employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, the findings reveal that economic and financial risks significantly reduce both FDI and FPI inflows, with delayed negative effects. Political risk exhibits a dual impact: attracting speculative FPI inflows in the short term but discouraging long-term investment due to persistent instability. By simultaneously evaluating FDI and FPI, this study addresses key gaps in the literature, offering a comprehensive perspective on how distinct risk factors influence investment flows. The results underscore the importance of fiscal reforms, enhanced governance, and robust financial strategies to stabilize macroeconomic conditions, mitigate political uncertainty, and manage external debt. These recommendations provide actionable insights for fostering a resilient and competitive investment environment in Egypt and similar emerging markets.

DOI

10.21608/msamsj.2025.322184.1077

Keywords

Economic risk, Financial risk, Political risk, Emerging Markets, ARDL Model

Authors

First Name

Rania

Last Name

Salem

MiddleName

Abdelfattah

Affiliation

The British University in Egypt

Email

rania.abdelfattah@bue.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

0000-0002-7106-3848

First Name

Ahmed

Last Name

Walid

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

The British University in Egypt

Email

ahmed207321@bue.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

4

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

51236

Issue Date

2025-01-01

Receive Date

2024-09-19

Publish Date

2025-01-01

Page Start

92

Page End

119

Print ISSN

2974-3028

Online ISSN

2974-3036

Link

https://msamsj.journals.ekb.eg/article_403076.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=403076

Order

403,076

Type

Original Article

Type Code

2,535

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

MSA-Management Sciences Journal

Publication Link

https://msamsj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Navigating Country Risk: Impacts on Foreign Direct and Portfolio Investment in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

07 Jan 2025