385184

A Direct Iterative Technique for Weibull Parameters Estimation Optimized for lowest Root Mean Square Error

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Mechanical Engineering

Abstract

Classical Weibull distribution (Weibull minima) is gaining momentum due to its employment in wind speed estimation for the growing renewable energy field. The main difficulty of Weibull distribution is that it is hard to accurately estimate its parameters for a set of wind speed data. Much research has been involved in this task with varying complexity, success, and accuracy. Statistical analysis is usually used to compare the accuracy of proposed Weibull parameters estimation methods. As the Weibull parameters of a set of data are not normally estimated, for simulation, more than once, this research considered the processing time to be of far less importance than accuracy. In this research, efforts were made to make the best use of the current PC processing power to achieve the best possible accuracy of the Weibull parameters. In the current research, an iterative technique is proposed to directly estimate the Weibull parameters that yield the best results with the most employed statistical analysis; least Root Mean Square Errors of estimation (RMSE). The results of the new technique were compared to that of the Maximum likelihood method (MLM), and a considerable improvement in accuracy, 9.3 % was achieved.

DOI

10.21608/jisse.2024.325856.1097

Keywords

Weibull distribution, Parameter estimation, Optimization, Iteration, RMSE

Authors

First Name

Mahmoud

Last Name

El-Bayoumi

MiddleName

Attia

Affiliation

Mechanical Eng. Depart., NRC

Email

el_bayoumi@hotmail.com

City

-

Orcid

0000-0003-1193-2658

Volume

6

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

49943

Issue Date

2024-06-01

Receive Date

2024-10-03

Publish Date

2024-06-01

Page Start

47

Page End

51

Print ISSN

2636-4425

Online ISSN

2682-3438

Link

https://jisse.journals.ekb.eg/article_385184.html

Detail API

https://jisse.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=385184

Order

385,184

Type

Original Article

Type Code

908

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of International Society for Science and Engineering

Publication Link

https://jisse.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

A Direct Iterative Technique for Weibull Parameters Estimation Optimized for lowest Root Mean Square Error

Details

Type

Article

Created At

30 Dec 2024