Beta
384506

Number of Generations Expected to Appear in 2050 to 2100 for the Spiny Bollworm, Earias insulana (Boisd.) Based on Variations in Temperature

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

-

Abstract

The study set out to ascertain how the number of generations of Earias insulana (Boisd.) moths would be affected by rising temperatures in 2050, 2075, and 2100. The Sharkyia Governorate was the site of a four-year comparative field research conducted between 2019 and 2022 in order to achieve this goal. There were nine field generations recorded. The generations and peak-to-peak, general average durations were 39.0±17 and 36±11 days, respectively, with a coefficient variance CV of 43.0 and 30.4 days. The overall average for thermal heat units was 507± 6 and 520± 19 units, while the CV values were 1.2 and 3.6 days. The estimated average duration of a generation for the years 2050–2100 was 32–34 days, with 11–13 day standard deviation. Compared to the field study, the CV values were 34.9–37.2 days lower. Due to a shorter generation growth period in the anticipated years than in the field research, the generations will occur earlier. The thermal constant remained nearly constant throughout generations and from peak to peak, even though the year's thermal units increased from 4595 units in the average of four years of field study to 5207, 5418, and 5595 units in the anticipated years 2050, 2075, and 2100, respectively. Nine generations of E. insulana moths were recorded in 2019–2022, rising to ten in 2050, remaining at ten in 2075, and reaching eleven in 2100. The number of days required to complete the generation growth is clearly correlated with temperature; the generation period decreases with increasing temperature.

DOI

10.21608/jppp.2024.313733.1252

Keywords

Earias insulana, Cotton, Climate Change, Light trap, accumulated heat units

Authors

First Name

A.

Last Name

El-Sayed

MiddleName

A.

Affiliation

Plant Protection Research Institute, ARC, Dokki Giza, Egypt

Email

aliahmed_2020@yahoo.com

City

zagazig

Orcid

0000-0003-4791-2608

First Name

M.

Last Name

Nada

MiddleName

M.

Affiliation

Plant Protection Research Institute, ARC, Dokki Giza, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

A.

Last Name

Amer

MiddleName

E. A.

Affiliation

Plant Protection Research Institute, ARC, Dokki Giza, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

15

Article Issue

9

Related Issue

50204

Issue Date

2024-09-01

Receive Date

2024-10-07

Publish Date

2024-09-01

Page Start

283

Page End

293

Print ISSN

2090-3677

Online ISSN

2090-3758

Link

https://jppp.journals.ekb.eg/article_384506.html

Detail API

https://jppp.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=384506

Order

7

Type

Original Article

Type Code

888

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Plant Protection and Pathology

Publication Link

https://jppp.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Number of Generations Expected to Appear in 2050 to 2100 for the Spiny Bollworm, Earias insulana (Boisd.) Based on Variations in Temperature

Details

Type

Article

Created At

30 Dec 2024