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The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Stock Price Crash Risk with Information Asymmetry as a Moderating Variable: Evidence from Egyptian Exchange

Article

Last updated: 29 Dec 2024

Subjects

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Tags

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Abstract

Purpose:

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU), information asymmetry, and stock price crash risk on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX).

Design/methodology/approach:

The study uses data from 21 nonfinancial firms listed on the Egyptian exchange between 2014 and 2023 to investigate the moderating roles of information asymmetry between economic policy uncertainty and stock price crash risk. It tests hypotheses using cross-sectional analysis and hierarchical regression analyses based on 210 observations.

Findings:

Eeconomic policy uncertainty (EPU) alters investor behavior in financial markets, making it challenging for investors to assess a company's risk and performance. This, in turn, increases the probability of stock price decline upon the revelation of such hidden information. Cross-sectional analysis proved that economic policy uncertainty accounted for 47.4% of stock price crash risk. Information asymmetry enhanced this to 71.21%, demonstrating its influential role in explaining the change in stock price crash risk. Hierarchical regression analysis showed that economic policy uncertainty accounted for 29.9% of stock price crash risk. Information asymmetry enhanced this to 51.2%, demonstrating its influential role in explaining the change in stock price crash risk.

Originality/value:

The study highlights the critical role of information asymmetry in amplifying the impact of EPU on stock price crash risk. The study provides valuable insights for policymakers, corporate leaders, and market participants to navigate the challenges of this dynamic and evolving financial landscape.

DOI

10.21608/msamsj.2024.317379.1076

Keywords

Economic Policy Uncertainty, stock price crash risk, information asymmetry, Egyptian Exchange, EGX

Authors

First Name

Osama

Last Name

Wagdi

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Management Sciences Department, Akhbar Alyom Academy

Email

osamawagdi_ta@yahoo.com

City

-

Orcid

0000-0003-0451-9726

First Name

sameh

Last Name

daher

MiddleName

said

Affiliation

School of Business, International Academy for Engineering & Media Science

Email

samehsaiddaherssm82@gamil.com

City

giza

Orcid

-

First Name

yasser

Last Name

el-ltayeb

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Higher Institute for Managerial Sciences Janaklees, El-Beheira

Email

yasser.eltayeb1979@gmail.com

City

cairo

Orcid

-

Volume

4

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

51236

Issue Date

2025-01-01

Receive Date

2024-09-01

Publish Date

2025-01-01

Page Start

1

Page End

44

Print ISSN

2974-3028

Online ISSN

2974-3036

Link

https://msamsj.journals.ekb.eg/article_391672.html

Detail API

https://msamsj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=391672

Order

391,672

Type

Original Article

Type Code

2,535

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

MSA-Management Sciences Journal

Publication Link

https://msamsj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Stock Price Crash Risk with Information Asymmetry as a Moderating Variable: Evidence from Egyptian Exchange

Details

Type

Article

Created At

29 Dec 2024