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337042

Empirical Evidence on Testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis in Egypt: Case of Currency Devaluation

Article

Last updated: 29 Dec 2024

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Abstract

The impact of economic events on stock markets and their reflection on returns of financial markets, has been an area of profound importance. Hence, based on importance of the currency devaluation on the economic development of countries, this paper aims to investigate the impact of currency devaluation on the Egyptian stock market in 2016 and 
2022 and examine if the Egyptian market is efficient. This was examined using parametric and non-parametric unit root tests for stationarity. 
Moreover, ARCH(Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) and EGARCH(Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity)models were conducted on two indices EGX100 and EGX30.
The results indicate the stationarity of returns regardless of market events. The findings are important to policymakers and investors to evaluate and forecast market movements. The chosen Egyptian context is justified 
due to insufficient research conducted on the Egyptian market and the controversial findings of existing literature on emerging markets in general and the Egyptian market in specific.

DOI

10.21608/msamsj.2024.257624.1049

Keywords

Efficient market hypothesis, EGX, Currency Floatation, devaluation, Behavioral Finance

Authors

First Name

Dalia

Last Name

El Mosallamy

MiddleName

Ahmed

Affiliation

Faculty of Business, BEAPS, The British University in Egypt.

Email

dalia.elmosalamy@bue.edu.eg

City

cairo

Orcid

-

First Name

Nesma

Last Name

Gamal

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Faculty of Business, Economics and Political Science. The British University in Egypt

Email

nesma.gamal@bue.edu.eg

City

Cairo

Orcid

-

Volume

3

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

44956

Issue Date

2024-04-01

Receive Date

2023-12-23

Publish Date

2024-04-01

Page Start

1

Page End

27

Print ISSN

2974-3028

Online ISSN

2974-3036

Link

https://msamsj.journals.ekb.eg/article_337042.html

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https://msamsj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=337042

Order

337,042

Type

Original Article

Type Code

2,535

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

MSA-Management Sciences Journal

Publication Link

https://msamsj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Empirical Evidence on Testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis in Egypt: Case of Currency Devaluation

Details

Type

Article

Created At

29 Dec 2024