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Developing a Detailed Prediction Model for Construction Site Overheads Using Artificial Neural Network in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 29 Dec 2024

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Abstract

 The estimation of costs is a crucial aspect of construction planning that should be carried out during the initial phases of a project to establish its budget. The term "project overheads" refers to the indirect expenses associated with a project, such as providing general services at the site or plant, including insurance, site accommodation, and other similar costs. The goal of this research is to investigate the variables that affect the precision of site overheads estimation. In this study, the effectiveness of artificial neural networks (ANNs) was examined in addressing the challenge of accurately estimating project overhead costs during the initial stages of building design. The research involved developing a comprehensive prediction model to estimate the percentage of site overhead costs. The primary objective of this paper is to examine the methods used for estimating project overheads in Egypt. This involves identifying factors that affect site overhead costs and developing a detailed prediction model for construction site overhead using artificial neural network in Egypt.For the purpose of achieving the goal of this research, A questionnaire was conducted among construction companies in Egypt. It was found that the most important factors (according to past studies and questionnaire results) were project's duration, Inflation and Interest rate in the Country and project's size. ANN model has been developed to estimate the overhead percentage depending on its characteristics. It was found that the use of the ANN model is an effective tool for minimizing the amount of work required to estimate the percentage of on-site overhead costs with greater accuracy.

DOI

10.21608/erjsh.2023.222575.1188

Keywords

Site Overheads, Estimating, Egyptian Construction Firms, ANN

Authors

First Name

Amr

Last Name

Gamal El Din

MiddleName

Aly

Affiliation

Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering at Shoubra Benha University, Egypt.

Email

dr.amrgamal@hotmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

tarek

Last Name

attia

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Housing and Building National Research Center (HBRC), Giza, Egypt

Email

tarek_attia@yahoo.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Mai

Last Name

Ahmed

MiddleName

Maged

Affiliation

Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Fayoum University, Fayoum 63514, Egypt

Email

maimaged.a@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

53

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

45043

Issue Date

2024-01-01

Receive Date

2023-07-24

Publish Date

2024-01-01

Page Start

158

Page End

169

Print ISSN

3009-6049

Online ISSN

3009-6022

Link

https://erjsh.journals.ekb.eg/article_341616.html

Detail API

https://erjsh.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=341616

Order

341,616

Type

Research articles

Type Code

2,276

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Engineering Research Journal (Shoubra)

Publication Link

https://erjsh.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Developing a Detailed Prediction Model for Construction Site Overheads Using Artificial Neural Network in Egypt

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Article

Created At

29 Dec 2024