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400023

Analyses of sugar cane production trend, growth rate, instability index and decomposition in Nigeria

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Breeding and production of sugar crops
Investments and business opportunities in sugar industries

Abstract

The research examined the trends, growth rates, and instability indices related to the output, harvested area, and yield of sugarcane in Nigeria. It also analyzed the decomposition of sugarcane production in Nigeria. Utilizing secondary data sourced from the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) covering the period from 1961 to 2022, the study revealed inconsistent patterns in trend of output, harvested area, and yield of sugarcane across the specified timeframe. The compound growth rates identified were 1.11% for output, 1.03% for harvested area, and 0.08% for yield. For the period 1961 to 2022, the Cuddy-Della Valle instability index (CDI) and the Coppock Instability Index (COI) were calculated at 21.23 and 58.79 for output, 35.70 and 72.34 for harvested area, and 20.55 and 50.99 for yield, respectively. These instability indices were relatively moderate, indicating significant activity within the sugarcane sector in Nigeria. A decomposition analysis of the total effect of sugarcane output showed that the land area effect accounted for 144.55%, the yield effect for -3.60%, and the interaction effect for -40.95% of the total variability in output. The findings suggest that the land area effect is the predominant factor driving the growth of sugarcane production in Nigeria. Consequently, it is recommended that various programs be implemented within the sub-sector to stimulate increased activity and potentially enhance both output and yield.

DOI

10.21608/esugj.2024.337040.1072

Keywords

Growth, instability index, Sugarcane, Trend, Nigeria

Authors

First Name

SUNDAY

Last Name

Akpan

MiddleName

Brownson

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Nigeria

Email

sundayakpan@aksu.edu.ng

City

uyo

Orcid

0000-0002-0458-028X

First Name

Ini-mfon

Last Name

Patrick

MiddleName

Vincent

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics, faculty of Agriculture, Uyo, Nigeria

Email

inivipako@gmail.com

City

uyo

Orcid

0009-0007-9002-3060

First Name

Ubokudom

Last Name

Okon

MiddleName

Etim

Affiliation

agricultural economics, Agriculture Faculty, Uyo, Nigeria

Email

ubokudomokon@aksu.edu.ng

City

uyo

Orcid

0000-0002-0518-0093

Volume

23

Article Issue

0

Related Issue

52008

Issue Date

2024-12-01

Receive Date

2024-11-16

Publish Date

2024-12-31

Print ISSN

2636-2694

Online ISSN

2636-283X

Link

https://esugj.journals.ekb.eg/article_400023.html

Detail API

https://esugj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=400023

Order

400,023

Type

Original Research Articles.

Type Code

2,178

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Egyptian Sugar Journal

Publication Link

https://esugj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Analyses of sugar cane production trend, growth rate, instability index and decomposition in Nigeria

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024