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The impact of global energy prices on economic growth in Egypt during the period from 1965 to 2022 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

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Abstract

There are multiple concerns surrounding the global economy after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. This crisis caused new risks to the global economy, as energy prices rose with the beginning of the problem as the price of a barrel of oil exceeded $100 a barrel since 2014, and European natural gas has risen by 62%.
This paper empirically investigates the impact of Changes in energy prices affect economic growth in Egypt and Recognition the negative effects of the Russia-Ukraine war economically on the world generally and on Egypt especially. This study tests the hypothesis, Economic growth in Egypt is adversely affected by the rise in global energy prices.
The study is based on the ARDL model in analyzing the relationship between energy prices and economic growth in Egypt.
The study concluded that the crisis contributed to raising inflation rates and reducing economic growth in the countries of the world, also confusing the plans of all parties to the petroleum and natural gas industry, including producers, consumers, and international companies, and this necessitated a reassessment of their next steps.
As there is a significant correlation between changes in both (oil and gas prices and the global energy index) and economic growth in Egypt during the Ukrainian-Russian crisis, and This crisis caused a decline in economic growth in Egypt and had a significant impact on the availability of foodstuffs during that period.

DOI

10.21608/psej.2023.199112.1056

Keywords

Energy prices, Economic growth, ARDL Model

Authors

First Name

نيفين حسين محمد

Last Name

محمود

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

کلية ادراة الاعمال - جامعه الاهرام الکندية

Email

neveinhmm@yahoo.com

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Orcid

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Volume

3

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

43801

Issue Date

2023-10-01

Receive Date

2023-03-09

Publish Date

2023-10-01

Page Start

453

Page End

487

Print ISSN

2805-3028

Online ISSN

2805-3036

Link

https://psej.journals.ekb.eg/article_320577.html

Detail API

https://psej.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=320577

Order

320,577

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

2,110

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة الدراسات السياسية والاقتصادية

Publication Link

https://psej.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The impact of global energy prices on economic growth in Egypt during the period from 1965 to 2022 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model

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Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024