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329335

A simple point score model for prediction of Covid-19 in some Egyptian patients

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Physiology

Abstract

On a global scale, a substantial number of newly diagnosed cases of the covid-19 virus and a considerable number of associated fatalities are recorded weekly. Its laboratory detection depends on the costly and time-consuming real-time PCR analysis. A simple way to facilitate the diagnosis of Covid-19 is still required. Here, it was aimed to generate a simple point score as a prediction model for fast diagnosis of Covid-19 using simple laboratory analyses. 121 adult individuals with qRT-PCR results served as a training group, whereas 35 individuals were used as a validation group. Different laboratory analyses, including complete blood count (CBC), differential count, D-dimer, C- Reactive Protein (CRP), and Ferritin, have been recruited as predictors using the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis. The results revealed three models, depending on the predictor parameters' ROC area (AUC). The simplest model consisted of the data of the three predictors: lymphocytopenia, CRP, and D-dimer, and resulted in a ROC AUC value of 0.9773. The use of the three models on the validation group provided support for the conclusion that the calculation of lymphocyte count, CRP, and D-dimer is enough for predicting the occurrence of Covid-19.

DOI

10.21608/sjdfs.2023.208364.1105

Keywords

COVID-19, prediction, point-score, model, lab analysis

Authors

First Name

Reham

Last Name

el fanagely

MiddleName

Adel

Affiliation

zoology department,faculty of science,Damietta University

Email

noorelqamar70@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Ayman

Last Name

Hyder

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Faculty of Science Damietta University

Email

hyder@du.edu.eg

City

New Damietta

Orcid

0000-0003-3216-0431

First Name

Hekmat

Last Name

Elgammal

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Zoology, Science, Damietta,Egypt

Email

mhekmat@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Atef

Last Name

Wahdn

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

chest, Medicine, Al Azhar university

Email

atefchest@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

13

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

42095

Issue Date

2023-12-01

Receive Date

2023-05-29

Publish Date

2023-12-01

Page Start

96

Page End

103

Print ISSN

2314-8594

Online ISSN

2314-8616

Link

https://sjdfs.journals.ekb.eg/article_329335.html

Detail API

https://sjdfs.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=329335

Order

329,335

Type

Original articles

Type Code

2,045

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Scientific Journal for Damietta Faculty of Science

Publication Link

https://sjdfs.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

A simple point score model for prediction of Covid-19 in some Egyptian patients

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024