338988

أثر الفجوات الزمنية في تحديد العلاقة السببية بين عرض النقود و التضخم وسعر الصرف في السودان. (دراسة قياسية للفترة 2000- 2022). The effect of time gaps in determining the causal re

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

-

Abstract

The study aimed to know the nature and direction of the causal relationship between the money supply as main variable in monetary policy management and price stability indicators (inflation, and exchange rate ) in Sudan during period 2000-2022 and to emphasize the importance of diversifying monetary tools to control inflationary trends , their danger and their cost ,absolute dependence on the exchange rate tool .the problem of the study was the question is there a causal relationship linking the money supply , inflation , and the exchange rate in Sudan during the period 2000-2022? What is the direction of the relationship between the variable under study in Sudan during the study period ? the study used the descriptive analytical method and secondary sources were also used in this study , the quantitative approach is to build a standard model to measure the effect of the money supply and the exchange rate on inflation , by testing the causal relationship between the variables . from the results of the study there is a unidirectional causal relationship that goes from inflation to the exchange rate , that is the increase in inflation is the reason for the instability of the exchange rate in the term. Short term and that money supply has no effect on inflation in the long term.

DOI

10.21608/hiss.2024.338988

Keywords

عرض النقود, التضخم, سعر الصرف, سببية جرانجر

Authors

First Name

د. ذوالنون

Last Name

محمد حامد عثمان

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

جامعة غرب كردفان – كلية الدراسات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية –السودان.

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

د. سليمان

Last Name

خليفة مردس عجب الله

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

جامعة غرب كردفان– كلية الدراسات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية - السودان.

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

د. معتز

Last Name

ادم عبد الرحيم محمد

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

جامعة غرب كردفان – كلية الدراسات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية –السودان

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

4

Article Issue

5

Related Issue

45785

Issue Date

2024-01-01

Receive Date

2024-01-29

Publish Date

2024-01-01

Page Start

1,515

Page End

1,542

Print ISSN

2786-0256

Online ISSN

2786-0264

Link

https://hiss.journals.ekb.eg/article_338988.html

Detail API

https://hiss.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=338988

Order

338,988

Type

البحوث والدِّراسات.

Type Code

1,961

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة المعهد العالي للدراسات النوعية

Publication Link

https://hiss.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

أثر الفجوات الزمنية في تحديد العلاقة السببية بين عرض النقود و التضخم وسعر الصرف في السودان. (دراسة قياسية للفترة 2000- 2022). The effect of time gaps in determining the causal re

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024