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314052

The economic effects of climate change on the fig crop productivity in Matrouh Governorate

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

Subjects

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Tags

Agricultural Economics and Management Sciences

Abstract

Climate change has a significant impact on the agriculture sector, and there are several key effects that can occur as a result of climate change on agriculture, including changes in temperature, rainfall patterns, increasing droughts, and floods. This research aims to determine the extent of the fig crop's productivity response to climate change in both short and long periods. This is achieved by analyzing the impact of climate factors such as temperature, rainfall amounts, and distribution over the past years. The main findings of the study indicate that all productivity indicators for the fig crop and climate during the average period of 1999-2022 have shown an increasing trend with varying annual growth rates. By examining the time series of the study model variables, it was confirmed that they are stationary after taking the first difference. It was then verified that they are all integrated with a common integration, which necessitates surpassing these variables by representing them in an error correction model. This suggests that the productivity of the fig crop in Matrouh is trending towards its equilibrium value in each time period, with a convergence rate equal to 1.71% of the remaining variation in the period (1-t). In other words, the productivity of the fig crop diverges during the short period from the equilibrium value in the period (1-t), and 1.7% of this deviation is corrected.
 
 
 

DOI

10.21608/fjard.2023.314052

Keywords

Climate Change, the fig, the Ricardian model, the error correction model

Authors

First Name

Sherin Fathy

Last Name

Mansour

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Social Studies Department, Desert Research Center, Egypt

Email

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City

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Orcid

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Volume

37

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

42537

Issue Date

2023-07-01

Receive Date

2023-08-21

Publish Date

2023-07-01

Page Start

599

Page End

613

Print ISSN

1110-7790

Online ISSN

2805-2528

Link

https://fjard.journals.ekb.eg/article_314052.html

Detail API

https://fjard.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=314052

Order

314,052

Type

Research articles.

Type Code

1,920

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Fayoum Journal of Agricultural Research and Development

Publication Link

https://fjard.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The economic effects of climate change on the fig crop productivity in Matrouh Governorate

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024