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316556

Infectious Duration Time Distributions of an Epidemic Chain Binomial Model

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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Abstract

A chain binomial Model is considered by assuming that, in a household of size N, the probability of Pat being infected by contact with a given infective is {1- exp (-λt)}, where t is the infectious duration period, λ is the infection rate of that infective. The aim of the present work is to find the infectious duration time distribution, the mean and the coefficient of variation of each generation and every possible chain in the model under consideration. It is also found that the infectious duration time, coefficient of variation decreases as N and the number of infectives increases. Finally an application to infectious hepatitis household data is introduced.

DOI

10.21608/esju.1988.316556

Keywords

Coefficient of variation, Epidemic Binomial Model, infection rate, Infectious Duration Time

Authors

First Name

Shoukry

Last Name

E.M.

MiddleName

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Affiliation

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Orcid

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Volume

32

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

43398

Issue Date

1988-12-01

Receive Date

2023-09-07

Publish Date

1988-12-01

Page Start

17

Page End

30

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_316556.html

Detail API

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=316556

Order

1

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Infectious Duration Time Distributions of an Epidemic Chain Binomial Model

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Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024