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Numerical Approach for Predicting Social Accounting Matrix Based on Multiplier System. By: Hassan, R. S. M. and Meshhal, W. B. M.

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Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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Abstract

This paper introduces new concepts in projecting a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) using multiplier matrix as a cofactor for an objective policy plan vector. Three estimates for SAM cells are derived from three versions of this policy vector. The SAM estimates are operationally calculated based on those two components, namely, endogenous and exogenous data in terms of multiplier matrix and policy vector respectively. Both of the two are related in balance equations so as to satisfy the equilibrium restrictions of the SAM. But these restrictions are partially satisfied first by balancing that endogenous part which concerns the productive sectors in SAM. The other part of SAM constituting the transfers sectors has faced a problem of estimation for its exogenous transfers submatrix conditioned by SAM balance and policy requirements. Therefore, two main tasks around which the work of this paper is concentrated. One is to build a compatible multiplier system with SAM structure such that its components may thoroughly reflects the different types of transactions between the SAM accounts. The second task is to estimate the whole SAM cells in accordance with both of the multiplier equations system and the balance restrictions achievement. However, to accomplish this work through multiplier usage three policies, namely, expenditure, income and combined of the two are exploited in the system and resulting in three estimates of SAM. The solution methodology is mostly numerical. The application of this study was to a projection for Egyptian SAM in 1994/1995.

DOI

10.21608/esju.1998.314568

Keywords

Equilibrium Restrictions, Multiplier System, Numerical Approach, prediction, Social accounting matrix, projection

Volume

42

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

43141

Issue Date

1998-06-01

Publish Date

1998-06-01

Page Start

115

Page End

142

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_314568.html

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https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=314568

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8

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Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Numerical Approach for Predicting Social Accounting Matrix Based on Multiplier System. By: Hassan, R. S. M. and Meshhal, W. B. M.

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Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024