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314462

A Model to Enhance the Forecasting Efficiency of Suez Canal Revenues Using Combining Methods

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Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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Abstract

The Suez Canal is a strategic route for world trade, and its revenue is one of the key resources for the Egyptian economy, hence the improving the forecasting of its revenues is very important. This research paper aims to model the Suez Canal revenues using the optimal method of combining with a view to overcoming the inefficiencies of individual models, and to develop the forecasting models using the fundamental change that occurs to the future values of the time series, as it has come to be known that these models do not take into account the expected increase in Suez Canal revenues after the construction of the new canal running parallel to the old one.  

DOI

10.21608/esju.2015.314462

Keywords

Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR), Combining Forecasts, Forecasting Accuracy

Volume

59

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

43136

Issue Date

2015-12-01

Publish Date

2015-12-01

Page Start

127

Page End

144

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_314462.html

Detail API

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=314462

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Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

A Model to Enhance the Forecasting Efficiency of Suez Canal Revenues Using Combining Methods

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Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024