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313817

Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates

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Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

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Abstract

Age and Cohort are two kinds of effects in many forms of population behavior, hence data on recent cohorts are always incomplete. A univariate time series ARIMA model is performed well in projecting age or duration specific data of recent cohorts (Barbara et al., 1996). The model is also capable of taking period effects into account (Box et al., 1994). So in this paper the model is applied to Egypt marital fertility rates for the marriage cohorts 1962-1990.  

DOI

10.21608/esju.2001.313817

Keywords

fertility, Cohort - Demographic Projection - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models Prediction - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average for Cohort Data (CARIMA) - Period Effects

Volume

45

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

43029

Issue Date

2001-12-01

Publish Date

2001-12-01

Page Start

232

Page End

253

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_313817.html

Detail API

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=313817

Order

9

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates

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Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024