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361934

Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality and Fertility in Egypt till 2020 Using Intervention Models

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

Subjects

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Tags

الديموغرافيا
تحليل السلاسل الزمنية

Abstract

The Egyptian population is making a noticeable Progress concerning fertility and mortality. This Progress started as early as the Second World War. In this study, some fertility and mortality indicators were selected. Using time series analysis, two types of models considered in the analysis. The univariate and the intervention models are considered. The best model for each indicator was estimated and checked. These models were used to get predictions till 2020. The steps as well as the method for selecting the best model are presented. The predicted values for the fertility and mortality measures are given.

DOI

10.21608/mskas.2005.361934

Keywords

fertility, mortality, time series analysis, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Mounira

Last Name

Hussein

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

College of commerce,- Menoufia University

Email

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City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

38

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

48114

Issue Date

2005-12-01

Receive Date

2024-06-25

Publish Date

2005-12-01

Page Start

1

Page End

21

Print ISSN

1110-1156

Online ISSN

2786-0078

Link

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/article_361934.html

Detail API

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=361934

Order

361,934

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,913

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة

Publication Link

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality and Fertility in Egypt till 2020 Using Intervention Models

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024