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Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

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Tags

الديموغرافيا
تحليل السلاسل الزمنية

Abstract

TInfant Mortality Rate (IMR) is one of the most sensitive indicators to the level of socioeconomic development in the human society. Here, a class of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models is used to analyze a time series of infant mortality rate. ARIMA (1,1,0) model is suggested and is proven to be more adequate especially with the natural logarithmic transformation of the original time series. Predicted values for infant mortality rate in Egypt for the time period 1983 - 2000 are derived.

DOI

10.21608/mskas.1991.303600

Keywords

Infant Mortality Rate, ARIMA Models, time series, Egypt

Volume

25

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

41878

Issue Date

1991-12-01

Receive Date

2023-06-14

Publish Date

1991-12-01

Page Start

32

Page End

46

Print ISSN

1110-1156

Online ISSN

2786-0078

Link

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/article_303600.html

Detail API

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=303600

Order

303,600

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,913

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة

Publication Link

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024