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302281

Contributions of The Proximate Determinants to Fertility Transition in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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الإحصاء الحيوي
الديموغرافيا

Abstract

Egypt is in still undergoing its fertility transition from high levels to low levels. Exploring the trends of fertility during the first half of the nineties clearly shows that there is evidence for fertility increase in some regions of Egypt. This study used Bongaarts's indices of the proximate determinants of fertility and a method that was proposed by Zaky in 1997 to decompose fertility changes. This included analyzing the relative contributions of three proximate determinants (marriage, contraceptive use and postpartum insusceptibility) to fertility transition on a regional level in Egypt during the period 1980-1995. The data came from the 1980 Egypt Fertility Survey, 1988, 1992 and 1995 Egypt Demographic and Health Surveys. Contraception had proven to be the most important factor to reduce fertility. However, regions vary in the extent to which changes in contraceptive use inhibited fertility. The reducing effect of contraception was diminishing Marriage had significant effects that changed across regions. The study projected some increase in fertility rates in the regions in the near future, similar to the increase that occurred for the Urban Governorates and urban Upper Egypt. The study then concluded with some policy implications.

DOI

10.21608/mskas.1999.302281

Keywords

fertility, Bongraat Model, Egypt Fertility Survey

Volume

32

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

41692

Issue Date

1999-06-01

Receive Date

2023-06-06

Publish Date

1999-06-01

Page Start

49

Page End

63

Print ISSN

1110-1156

Online ISSN

2786-0078

Link

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/article_302281.html

Detail API

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=302281

Order

1

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,913

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة

Publication Link

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Contributions of The Proximate Determinants to Fertility Transition in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024