Beta
302249

Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

الإحصاء الحيوي
الديموغرافيا
تحليل السلاسل الزمنية

Abstract

The Egyptian population is making a noticeable progress concerning health and mortality. This progress started as early as the Second World War. In this study, some mortality indicators were selected. The data available for those indicators all over the past century were collected. The available studies and research were reviewed in order to identify high risk factors affecting mortality in general and those affecting infant mortality in particular. Using time series analysis, the best model for each indicator was estimated and checked. These models were used to get predictions till 2010. The steps as well as the methods for selecting the best model are presented. The predicted values for the mortality measures are given.

DOI

10.21608/mskas.2000.302249

Keywords

time series analysis, Forecasting, mortality, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Mounira

Last Name

Hussein

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

College of Commerce- Menoufia University

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Youssef

Last Name

Mahgoub

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Institute of Statistical studies and Research (ISSR) - Cairo University

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

33

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

41683

Issue Date

2000-06-01

Receive Date

2023-06-06

Publish Date

2000-06-01

Page Start

30

Page End

48

Print ISSN

1110-1156

Online ISSN

2786-0078

Link

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/article_302249.html

Detail API

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=302249

Order

2

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,913

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة

Publication Link

https://mskas.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024