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360291

Estimation of Export Demand function in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

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Tags

بحوث نوعية تتناول أي من القضايا الملحة في مجالات التنمية: الاجتماعية، …دية، البيئية، التکنولوجية والمعرفية والثقافية، واستخلاص خبرات ونتائج.

Abstract

Exports play an important role in enhancing economic growth and sustaining the development path of emerging countries. In this study we intend to explore the determinants of exports in Egypt, during the period 1982-2021. In this regard, this paper seeks to focus specifically on disaggregating the types of exports into major sub-components, according to data availability. We estimate the determinants of total exports, merchandise esports, non-fuel merchandise exports, and services exports. Main findings confirm with results from previous studies, especially with regards to the positive and significant relationship between exports and the World GDP, the real domestic GDP, real industrial domestic production, the EU partnership agreement with the EU. A negative relationship between the real effective exchange rate and the total exports has been detected, but significant only in the case of service exports. Policy should put more emphasis on scaling up the role of the manufacturing sector, to enhance its potential role in boosting the non-fuel merchandise exports.

DOI

10.21608/inp.2024.210302.1049

Keywords

Export Demand Function, OLS, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), cointegration, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Mariam

Last Name

Raouf

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Assistant Professor of Economics-International Economic Relations Center- Institute of National Planning.

Email

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City

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Orcid

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Volume

32

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

48477

Issue Date

2024-06-01

Receive Date

2023-05-10

Publish Date

2024-06-01

Page Start

119

Page End

101

Print ISSN

1110-984X

Online ISSN

2785-9940

Link

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/article_360291.html

Detail API

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=360291

Order

7

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,811

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للتنمية والتخطيط

Publication Link

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Estimation of Export Demand function in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024