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360293

The Impact of macroeconomic instability on remittance inflows to Egypt during the Period (1980-2021)

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

بحوث نوعية تتناول أي من القضايا الملحة في مجالات التنمية: الاجتماعية، …دية، البيئية، التکنولوجية والمعرفية والثقافية، واستخلاص خبرات ونتائج.

Abstract

This paper examines how macroeconomic instability impacts remittance inflows to Egypt over the period (1980-2021). The study constructed a comprehensive macroeconomic instability index using principal component analysis (PCA). An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach is employed to estimate the impact of macroeconomic instability on remittance inflows. The results revealed that macroeconomic instability has a positive and statistically significant impact on remittance inflows to Egypt. Furthermore, remittances respond negatively to real GDP per capita in the home country, and positively to international oil prices and exchange rate. These results are consistent with dominance of the altruistic motive of remittances and provide evidence on their countercyclicality. The results reveal the compensatory reaction of remittances to the negative consequences of macroeconomic instability during the periods of economic hardship and their role in absorbing macroeconomic shocks. Although macroeconomic instability induces altruistically motivated remittances, government policies are required to mobilize remittance savings, attract investment-induced remittances, and direct them towards domestic productive investments.

DOI

10.21608/inp.2024.241638.1065

Keywords

macroeconomic instability- remittances inflows- principal component analysis- ARDL bounds testing, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Rania

Last Name

Elsharkawy

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Assistant Professor of Economics- Faculty of Economic Studies and Political Science- Alexandria University

Email

rania.elsharqawy@alexu.edu.eg

City

الاسكندرية

Orcid

0000000237441876

Volume

32

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

48477

Issue Date

2024-06-01

Receive Date

2023-10-09

Publish Date

2024-06-01

Page Start

75

Page End

57

Print ISSN

1110-984X

Online ISSN

2785-9940

Link

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/article_360293.html

Detail API

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=360293

Order

5

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,811

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للتنمية والتخطيط

Publication Link

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Impact of macroeconomic instability on remittance inflows to Egypt during the Period (1980-2021)

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024