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360294

How Oil Price Shocks Affect the Egyptian Stock Market Performance in the Context of Recent Challenges

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

بحوث منهجية تتناول التطورات في أساليب التخطيط سواء الکمية، مثل النماذج…وعية واستخداماتها في تحسين نوعية وجودة التخطيط وصنع السياسات العامة.

Abstract

This study investigates the time-varying impact of oil price fluctuations on the performance of the Egyptian stock market from 1 January 2020 to 30 June 2022. During this period, the world witnessed two major shocks: COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, which reconfigured the global oil situation and played a significant role in the functioning of stock markets. For an in-depth evaluation, the study assessed the impact of oil price fluctuations on stock performance for major sectors by utilizing GARCH and EGARCH models. Additionally, the BEKK-GARCH model measures the spillover transmission between oil prices and the stock market. The results revealed a significant adverse effect of oil prices and the fear index (VIX) on EGX100 and EGX30's daily returns and volatility. The banking, non-banking, and real estate sectors were the most affected. Moreover, a significant bidirectional volatility spillover between the oil and stock markets was detected. The results provide guidelines for investors and financial advisors to enrich their decision-making processes concerning how to efficiently reallocate resources among different economic sectors during periods of fluctuation. This study is among the first to address recent oil price fluctuations' impact on the Egyptian stock market returns and volatility, emphasizing sectoral performance.

DOI

10.21608/inp.2024.240890.1064

Keywords

BEKK-GARCH, Oil Price, stock market returns and volatility, sectoral analysis, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Rasha

Last Name

Qutb

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Assistant Professor of Economics – Department of Economics- Faculty of Commerce- Damanhour University

Email

rqutb0149@com.dmu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

0000-0002-3602-3090

First Name

Hanan

Last Name

AbdelKhalik Abouelfarag

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Assistant Professor of Economics – Department of Economics- Faculty of Commerce- Damanhour University

Email

hanan.abdelkhalik@com.dmu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

32

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

48477

Issue Date

2024-06-01

Receive Date

2023-10-05

Publish Date

2024-06-01

Page Start

56

Page End

34

Print ISSN

1110-984X

Online ISSN

2785-9940

Link

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/article_360294.html

Detail API

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=360294

Order

4

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,811

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للتنمية والتخطيط

Publication Link

https://inp.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

How Oil Price Shocks Affect the Egyptian Stock Market Performance in the Context of Recent Challenges

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024