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Economic Analysis of The Role of Feed in Livestock Nutrition in Egypt Using VAR Model التحليل الاقتصادي لدور الأعلاف في تغذية الثروة الحيوانية في مصر باستخدام نموذج VAR

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Agricultural economics

Abstract

This study gives an empirical analysis of feed shortages in Egypt from 2008 to 2021, and its impact on livestock in Egypt, aiming to estimate the relationships between the number of livestock (represented by animal units) and various types of feed, including dry, green, and concentrated feed, using the Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model. The results showed reveal a significant surplus of green fodder, increasing from approximately 3.34 million tons to 6.2 million tons within the study period, while concentrated feed decreased from 6.48 million tons to 4.55 million tons. A direct correlation between animal units and concentrated feed demand was observed, contrasting with an inverse relationship with dry feed. The study also found that an increase in dry feed led to a notable decrease in animal units, indicating diminished nutritional efficiency. The recommendations include expanding fodder crop cultivation, enhancing preservation methods for surplus green fodder, enhancing the role of agricultural extension on optimal feeding practices, utilizing agricultural waste to feed animals,using non-traditional feeds to compensate for the shortage of concentrated feed and improving production capacities in feed factories. These measures aim to enhance the productivity of the livestock sector in Egypt.

DOI

10.21608/jalexu.2024.309914.1213

Keywords

feed, Animal units, Feed requirements, Vector Auto Regression model (VAR), Animal production in Egypt

Authors

First Name

Alaa

Last Name

Helal

MiddleName

Fekrey

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics – Faculty of Agriculture – Damietta University

Email

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City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Ahmed

Last Name

El-Shafei

MiddleName

M. A.

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics – Faculty of Agriculture – Damietta University

Email

ahmed_elshafei@mu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

A.

Last Name

Bahloul

MiddleName

M. E.

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics – Faculty of Agriculture – Benha University.

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

29

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

49778

Issue Date

2024-09-01

Receive Date

2024-08-03

Publish Date

2024-09-01

Page Start

368

Page End

391

Print ISSN

1110-5585

Online ISSN

2785-9525

Link

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/article_374977.html

Detail API

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=374977

Order

4

Type

Research papers

Type Code

1,789

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of the Advances in Agricultural Researches

Publication Link

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Economic Analysis of The Role of Feed in Livestock Nutrition in Egypt Using VAR Model التحليل الاقتصادي لدور الأعلاف في تغذية الثروة الحيوانية في مصر باستخدام نموذج VAR

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024