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An Economic Study of Chemical Fertilizers in Egypt دراسة اقتصادية للأسمدة الكيماوية في مصر

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

Agricultural economics

Abstract

Chemical fertilizers are considered one of the most important production inputs that play an important role in increasing agricultural production, but there are problems in the extent of the availability of chemical fertilizers for various crops in Egypt. The need for fertilizers has increased after depriving the soil of Nile silt and the expansion of reclamation of new lands that lack Nutrients due to their low organic matter content.
                The problem of the research was that the Agricultural Bank abandoned providing chemical fertilizers to farmers, and the lack of them in government distribution outlets led to the emergence of monopolies in the market, and the unjustified increase in prices led to the inability of farms to provide the fertilizers they needed, and the use of chemical fertilizers at high rates represents an obstacle to exports. Egyptian markets reach international markets that require certain specifications for agricultural products, as well as the high prices of fertilizers, which makes it necessary to rationalize their use in Egyptian agriculture.
                The research aims primarily to study the current situation of chemical fertilizers in Egypt and their adequacy to cover consumer needs.
In achieving its objectives, the research relied on the method of descriptive and quantitative analysis to measure economic variables in the research using some mathematical and statistical measures such as regression and correlation methods, and the most important measures of dispersion. The research relied on published and unpublished statistical data issued by the Economic Affairs Sector of the Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation, and the Food and Agriculture Organization. (FAO), in addition to some letters, references and research related to the field of research.
                It was found that the Egyptian production of chemical fertilizers ranged between a minimum of about 1 million tons of nitrogen fertilizer in 2005 and about 2.16 million tons of phosphate fertilizer in 2011, and a maximum of about 4.05 million tons of nitrogen fertilizer in 2020 and about 5.89 million tons of phosphate fertilizer in 2019. The average production reached The annual amount for both nitrogenous and phosphate fertilizers is about 2.77 and 3.72 million tons, respectively, for each of them, as shown in Table (3). By estimating the general time trend equation for Egypt's production of chemical fertilizers, it was found that there was a statistically significant annual increase amounting to about 0.16 and 0.15 million tons for both nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers, representing about 5.88% and 4.08%, respectively, of the annual average for each of them separately.
                It was also shown that the annual average Egyptian consumption of chemical fertilizers amounted to about 1.20 thousand tons for nitrogen fertilizer, and about 0.25 thousand tons for phosphate fertilizer, during the period (2005-2020), and the minimum amounted to about 1.08 thousand tons in 2012 for nitrogen fertilizer, about 1.15 thousand tons per year. 2009 for phosphate fertilizer, about 0.48 thousand tons in 2005, and the maximum reached about 1.30 thousand tons in 2005 for nitrogen fertilizer, about 1.81 thousand tons in 2005 for phosphate fertilizer, and about 0.80 thousand tons in 2020 for potash fertilizer.
                From the general time trend equation for Egyptian consumption of chemical fertilizers, it was revealed that there was a statistically significant annual increase amounting to about -0.008, 0.23 thousand tons for each of nitrogenous, phosphate and potassium fertilizers, representing about 3.77% and 10.66%, respectively, of the annual average for each of them separately. Statistically significant is proven for consumption of nitrogen fertilizer, which shows its relative stability around its arithmetic mean.
                It was also found that the annual average surplus of chemical fertilizers amounted to about 1.58 thousand tons for nitrogen fertilizer, 0.38 thousand tons for phosphate fertilizer, and the minimum amounted to about 0.3 thousand tons in 2005 for nitrogen fertilizer, and about 2.01 thousand tons in 2011 for phosphate fertilizer, and the maximum amounted to about 3.25 tons. One thousand tons in 2020 for nitrogen fertilizer, and about 21.92 thousand tons in 2017 for phosphate fertilizer. By estimating the general time trend equation for the surplus of chemical fertilizers, it was revealed that there was a statistically significant annual increase amounting to about 0.159.
 
 thousand tons of nitrogenous fertilizer, representing about 10.88% of the annual average. Statistically significant was not proven for the Egyptian surplus of phosphate fertilizer, and this shows its relative stability around its arithmetic mean.
                By studying the development of Egyptian exports of chemical fertilizers during the period (2005-2020), it was found that the minimum amount of Egyptian exports amounted to about 125.75 thousand tons in 2006 for nitrogen fertilizer, about 11.57 thousand tons in 2006 for phosphate fertilizer, about 0.07 thousand tons in 2005 for potassium fertilizer, and the maximum amounted to about 892.63 thousand tons in 2014 for nitrogen fertilizer, about 352.22 thousand tons in 2018 for phosphate fertilizer, and about 51.31 thousand tons in 2018 for potassium fertilizer. The annual average amount of exports reached about 277.29, 111.61, and 13.23 thousand tons, respectively, for each of them.
                By estimating the general time trend equation for Egyptian exports of chemical fertilizers, it was revealed that there was a statistically significant annual increase amounting to 9.26 thousand tons for phosphate fertilizer and 3.13 thousand tons for potassium fertilizer, representing about 8.30%, 23.66% of the annual average for each of them separately. Statistically significant was not proven for Egyptian exports of chemical fertilizers. Nitrogen fertilizer, which shows its relative stability around its arithmetic mean.
                It was also found that the annual average of Egyptian imports of chemical fertilizers reached about 16.37 thousand tons for nitrogen fertilizer, 5.202 thousand tons for phosphate fertilizer, 43.11 thousand tons for potassium fertilizer. The minimum amount was about 1.65 thousand tons in 2008 for nitrogen fertilizer, and about 1.22 thousand tons in 2009 for phosphate fertilizer. And about 1.91 thousand tons in 2009 for potassium fertilizer, and the maximum reached about 50.82 thousand tons in 2015 for nitrogen fertilizer, and about 16.81 thousand tons in 2020 for phosphate fertilizer, and about 123.53 thousand tons in 2019 for potassium fertilizer. By estimating the general time trend equation for global imports of chemical fertilizers, it was revealed that there was a statistically significant annual increase amounting to about 1.21, 0.70, and 4.08 thousand tons for each of nitrogenous, phosphate, and potassium fertilizers, representing about 7.33%, 34.64%, and 4.46%, respectively, of the annual average for each of them.
                The local demand for all types of chemical fertilizers in Egypt and the most important factors affecting the demand for these chemical fertilizers were also studied.

DOI

10.21608/jalexu.2023.251500.1172

Keywords

Climate Change, Awareness, mitigation, adaptation

Authors

First Name

Hend

Last Name

Mohamed

MiddleName

Abd Almohsen Lotfy

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics Research Institute -Agricultural Research Centre – Egypt

Email

hendlotfe41@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

28

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

44127

Issue Date

2023-12-01

Receive Date

2023-11-23

Publish Date

2023-12-31

Page Start

876

Page End

889

Print ISSN

1110-5585

Online ISSN

2785-9525

Link

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/article_331177.html

Detail API

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=331177

Order

11

Type

Research papers

Type Code

1,789

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of the Advances in Agricultural Researches

Publication Link

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

An Economic Study of Chemical Fertilizers in Egypt دراسة اقتصادية للأسمدة الكيماوية في مصر

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024