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287182

Analysis and Modeling of Rural Roads Traffic Safety Data

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

Civil Engineering

Abstract

Traffic accidents threaten human's safety and properties as well as restrict the management of transportation systems. Therefore, traffic accidents prediction models could help stakeholders to understand accident causes toward controlling their effects. This paper aims at developing a prediction model for a rural road in Egypt using actual accident data with survey data for pavement conditions, traffic flow presented as average hourly traffic per lane, speed, minor access, traffic signs conditions and road width. The relationship between accident number and the influencing factors is modeled using fuzzy logic algorithm which deals with nonlinear relationships between parameters. The results show that the developed model produced accurate and stable traffic accident predictions (R2=0.79). The results indicated that average accident rate decreases as road width increases where, a reduction in accident rate of about 5.26% is reached due to road width widening by 3.5m. The results indicate that road accidents on the studied road can be reduced by 7.38% if the speed is limited to 75 km/h. About 17.90% reduction is achieved by improving road surface condition. Also results indicate a positive relationship between traffic volume and accidents rate.

DOI

10.21608/sej.2023.195115.1032

Keywords

Traffic accidents, analysis, Fuzzy Logic, modeling

Authors

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Gaber

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Aswan University, 81542, Egypt

Email

moigaber2015@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Aboelkasim

Last Name

Diab

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Aswan University, 81542, Egypt

Email

adiab@aswu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Ayman

Last Name

Othman

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Aswan University, 81542, Egypt

Email

ayman.othman@aswu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Amr

Last Name

Wahaballa

MiddleName

M.

Affiliation

Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Aswan University, 81542, Egypt

Email

amr.whbala@aswu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

0000-0003-3705-3379

Volume

3

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

40379

Issue Date

2023-03-01

Receive Date

2023-01-11

Publish Date

2023-03-01

Page Start

57

Page End

67

Print ISSN

2735-5888

Online ISSN

2735-5896

Link

https://sej.journals.ekb.eg/article_287182.html

Detail API

https://sej.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=287182

Order

287,182

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,762

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Sohag Engineering Journal

Publication Link

https://sej.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Analysis and Modeling of Rural Roads Traffic Safety Data

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024