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290645

An Econometric Model for Demand and Supply the Fava Bean Crop in Egypt نموذج قياسي لطلب وعرض محصول الفول البلدي في مصر

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

The research aimed to identify the current and future state of the economics of the fava bean crop fava with the aim of reducing the gap between production and consumption through the study of productive, consumer, export and import conditions, and the study relied on the use of the two methods of descriptive statistical analysis represented by averages and percentages, and the quantitative method of estimating trends The general time of the variables under study, and the use of the following model to identify the most important determinants of the food gap of the fava bean crop in Egypt fava using the STATA program and use it in predicting the behavior of the study variables. The results of the study using general time trends showed that the area is taking a decreasing trend estimated at about 12.06 thousand acres representing 7.2%, and that production is taking a decreasing trend estimated at about 15.80 thousand tons, representing about 6.9%, and the analysis also showed that the food gap is taking an increasing trend estimated at about 26.30 thousand tons representing 6.2%, and that the retail price in real prices is taking an increasing trend estimated at about 365.7 pounds per ton, representing about 6.2%, and that The price of the farmer in real prices is taking an increasing general trend estimated at about 79.3 pounds per ton, representing 24.4%, and the results showed that the costs in real prices increased by 100.3 pounds per acre, representing about 4.9%.

DOI

10.21608/meae.2023.175055.1122

Keywords

Econometric model, Simultaneous equations models, Forecasting

Authors

First Name

Rehab Ibrahim Abdelgawad

Last Name

Mohamed

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.

Email

rhab2878@gmail.com

City

Cairo

Orcid

0000-0003-0407-1941

First Name

Abdallah Mahmoud

Last Name

Abdelmaqsoud

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt

Email

amaahmed2002@yahoo.com

City

cairo

Orcid

0000-0002-1121-0500

First Name

Mohamed Osman

Last Name

AbdelFatah

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.

Email

drmosman2020@agr.asu.edu.eg

City

Cairo

Orcid

0000-0002-0829-0837

Volume

33

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

39447

Issue Date

2023-03-01

Receive Date

2022-11-16

Publish Date

2023-03-01

Page Start

263

Page End

283

Print ISSN

1110-6832

Online ISSN

2735-4040

Link

https://meae.journals.ekb.eg/article_290645.html

Detail API

https://meae.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=290645

Order

290,645

Type

أبحاث علمیة متخصصة فی الاقتصاد الزراعی

Type Code

1,466

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للاقتصاد الزراعي

Publication Link

https://meae.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

An Econometric Model for Demand and Supply the Fava Bean Crop in Egypt نموذج قياسي لطلب وعرض محصول الفول البلدي في مصر

Details

Type

Article

Created At

26 Dec 2024