346533

An Intelligent Model to Assess the Credit Risk in Egyptian Banks

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

In the realm of financial and banking institutions, the art of forecasting and assessing banking risks holds paramount significance. Among these risks, the assessment of banking credit risks looms large in contemporary times, given the heightened necessity for decision-makers to anticipate the likelihood of loan defaults. However, one formidable challenge persists: the inadequate assessment of banking credit risks. This challenge stems from the multifaceted factors that influence risk assessment and the soundness of credit decisions. In response to this pressing issue, our research presents a predictive model employing machine learning (ML) algorithms. Our objective is
to facilitate informed credit decision-making and safeguard the financial assets of banks. In pursuit of this aim, we employed five machine learning classification algorithms: Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Random Forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR), Decision Tree (DT) and XGBoost (XGB). To ensure the robustness of our study, we utilized a real-world dataset gleaned from the historical records of a prominent Egyptian bank. Subsequently, we assessed the performance of our model based on key metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, and the f1 score. The results showed that XGB exhibited the highest accuracy, underlining the potential for ML algorithms to revolutionize the assessment of banking credit risks.

DOI

10.21608/sjrbs.2024.272113.1637

Keywords

Machine Learning, Financial institutions, Risk assessment, Loan defaults, Predictive model

Authors

First Name

Khaled

Last Name

Fathy

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Business Information Systems Department, Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration, Helwan University, Helwan, Cairo, Egypt.

Email

khaled.fathy21@commerce.helwan.edu.eg

City

أسوان

Orcid

-

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Marie

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Information Systems Department, Faculty of Computers and Artificial Intelligence, Helwan University, Helwan, Cairo, Egypt.

Email

dr.mmarie@fci.helwan.edu.eg

City

حلوان

Orcid

-

First Name

Engy

Last Name

Yehia

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration at Helwan University

Email

engy_yehia@commerce.helwan.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

0000-0002-2640-1983

Volume

38

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

46547

Issue Date

2024-03-01

Receive Date

2024-02-22

Publish Date

2024-03-01

Page Start

1,749

Page End

1,782

Print ISSN

1110-2373

Online ISSN

2682-4876

Link

https://sjrbs.journals.ekb.eg/article_346533.html

Detail API

https://sjrbs.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=346533

Order

346,533

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,324

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة العلمية للبحوث والدراسات التجارية

Publication Link

https://sjrbs.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

An Intelligent Model to Assess the Credit Risk in Egyptian Banks

Details

Type

Article

Created At

26 Dec 2024