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351793

Using the CUSUM control chart to monitor the reported deaths of COVID-19 in Egypt.

Article

Last updated: 25 Dec 2024

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Abstract

At the end of 2019, COVID-19 pandemic increased the reported deaths all over the world. It caused a worrisome state demands some tools to model and monitor the data of reported deaths of COVID-19.           
This research aims to model the reported deaths of Covid-19 in Egypt using three distributions . The best-fit distribution will model the deaths number of COVID-19 in Egypt. In addition, three control charts based on the best fit distribution were designed to monitor the reported deaths. Also, there was a comparison between two charts designed with and without FIR using MLE estimator to know the importance of using FIR. Another comparison between the two charts designed with FIR using MLE and Bayesian estimators to identify which estimator gives better results. The results showed that Poisson distribution was the best to model the data. The superiority of  the chart with FIR to detect shifts early was displayed, and the superiority of the chart was designed through Bayesian approach. 

DOI

10.21608/caf.2024.351793

Keywords

Goodness of fit, COVID-19, CUSUM control chart, Fir, Poisson distribution, Bayesian approach, MLE

Authors

First Name

Asmaa Mohammed

Last Name

Abdel- Rahman

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

faculty of commerce, Tanta university.

Email

asmaabdelrahman7@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Abdel- Raouf

Last Name

Abdel- Rahman

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

faculty of commerce, Tanta university.

Email

abdelraaof.abdelwahad@commerce.tanta.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Maha Farouk

Last Name

Tawfeek

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

faculty of commerce, Tanta university

Email

maha.ibrahim@commerce.tanta.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

44

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

47083

Issue Date

2024-03-01

Receive Date

2024-01-08

Publish Date

2024-03-01

Page Start

380

Page End

396

Print ISSN

1110-4716

Online ISSN

2682-4825

Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/article_351793.html

Detail API

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=351793

Order

351,793

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

التجارة والتمويل

Publication Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Using the CUSUM control chart to monitor the reported deaths of COVID-19 in Egypt.

Details

Type

Article

Created At

25 Dec 2024