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319865

The Relation Between the External Debt and the Economic Growth: Case Study of Egypt

Article

Last updated: 25 Dec 2024

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Tags

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Abstract

The persistence growth of Egypt's external debt has raised concerns regarding its impact on economic growth. This study examines the effect of the external debt on economic growth of Egypt .It adopted a time series analysis of ARDL (Auto- Regressive Distributive Lag model) on secondary data sourced from World Bank. The study tackles the period (1985- 2020).  GDP growth is used as a dependent variable and external debt servicing, savings, foreign direct investment and exports are the explanatory variables. The finding indicates that external debt had a positive effect on economic growth in Egypt. The study provides an understanding of how the importance of external debt could be short-lived due to its misapplication. The result reveals evidence to support a long-run equilibrium relationship between external debt and economic growth in Egypt. The result demonstrates that beyond a specific capacity, the short-run converges to equilibrium in the long-run and external debt would start to have a deteriorating impact on economic growth in Egypt. The findings of this study reinforce the need for policymakers to ensure proper application of external debt on economic activities that would lead to sustained long-term economic performance. Moreover, the government and development partners must put in place a monitoring mechanism to ensure the efficient use of borrowed funds.

DOI

10.21608/caf.2023.319865

Keywords

External Debt, Government Investment, Economic growth, Policy, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Karim

Last Name

Hassanien

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

19 El-Khaleefa El-Maamon Street, Apt. 501, Roxy Towers (Tower A), Heliopolis, Cairo, Egypt.

Email

karimbadreldinhassanien@gmail.com

City

Cairo

Orcid

-

Volume

43

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

43760

Issue Date

2023-09-01

Receive Date

2023-06-03

Publish Date

2023-09-01

Page Start

318

Page End

351

Print ISSN

1110-4716

Online ISSN

2682-4825

Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/article_319865.html

Detail API

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=319865

Order

319,865

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

التجارة والتمويل

Publication Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Relation Between the External Debt and the Economic Growth: Case Study of Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

25 Dec 2024