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The Impact of Broad money, Exchange rate and Interest rate on Inflation In Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa for the period of 1982- 2020

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

Standard studies on the relationship between broad money, exchange rate (FX), interest rate, and inflation showed a spectrum of varying results. The first strand of research documented a positive causal relationship where broad money and the exchange rate directly stimulate inflation by increasing purchasing power and aggregate demand. The second reported a negative association where broad money and exchange rate were harmful to inflation because the wide money and exchange diverted resources leading to more productive government spending. The third showed a sequential causal relationship indicating an impact of broad money on exchange rate causing an increase on inflation and subsequently leading to an increase in money abroad and exchange rate, while the fourth strand indicated a two-way causal relationship between broad money, exchange rate and inflation.

This study investigates the impact of broad money, exchange rate, and interest rate on inflation in Egypt, Nigeria and South Africa since they showed the highest levels of gross domestic product (GDP) among African countries during the research period of interest. These countries experienced a negative relationship between real interest rate and inflation where increased rates of real interest led to inflation rates decrease.

The results of the standard model showed a positive correlation between broad money, exchange rate and inflation in Egypt, Nigeria and South Africa.

DOI

10.21608/jocu.2023.211497.1266

Keywords

Inflation, broad money, Interest rate

Authors

First Name

Abdallah Sayed

Last Name

Elshafei

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Obour city

Email

abdallasayed388@gmail.com

City

Obour

Orcid

-

First Name

Rabab Mahmoud Abdou

Last Name

Abdallah

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

جامعة مصر للعلوم والتكنولوجيا

Email

rabab.abdallah@must.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

21

Article Issue

20

Related Issue

43949

Issue Date

2023-10-01

Receive Date

2023-05-16

Publish Date

2023-10-01

Page Start

471

Page End

495

Print ISSN

2636-4166

Online ISSN

2735-3176

Link

https://jocu.journals.ekb.eg/article_321599.html

Detail API

https://jocu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=321599

Order

321,599

Type

مقالات سیاسیة واقتصادیة

Type Code

1,296

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة السياسة والاقتصاد

Publication Link

https://jocu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Impact of Broad money, Exchange rate and Interest rate on Inflation In Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa for the period of 1982- 2020

Details

Type

Article

Created At

25 Dec 2024