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359994

A Blessing or a Burden: The Impact of Overpopulation on Egypt’s Economic Growth (1969-2019)

Article

Last updated: 25 Dec 2024

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Tags

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Abstract

Does a nation's rapid population growth foster or depress its economic growth? Throughout the centuries, there has never been a consensus among economists concerning the relationship between a country's population growth and its economic growth. The present study investigates the relationship between both variables in Egypt from 1969 to 2019. Based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), the empirical results reveal a negative relationship between both variables in Egypt both in the short and long run. Granger Causality Testing, however, does not show a causal relationship between Egypt's population growth and its economic growth. Such an analysis will provide empirical results as well as policy implications that can be used by the government to draft policies to reduce population growth. From among these policies, implementing other family planning programs and campaigns such as ‘Two is Enough' would be effective in achieving positive and effective results.

DOI

10.21608/cfdj.2024.260478.1883

Keywords

population growth, Economic growth, ARDL, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Manal Mohamed

Last Name

Emira

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

1 Gamaa Street

Email

manalemera@feps.edu.eg

City

Giza

Orcid

0009-0002-9878-1695

First Name

Ganna Mohamed

Last Name

Choukry Mohamed

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Assistant at USAID, Business Egypt

Email

gannamohamed804@yahoo.com

City

Cairo

Orcid

-

Volume

5

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

48284

Issue Date

2024-07-01

Receive Date

2024-01-03

Publish Date

2024-07-01

Page Start

349

Page End

396

Print ISSN

2682-3403

Online ISSN

2682-4531

Link

https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/article_359994.html

Detail API

https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=359994

Order

359,994

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,242

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية

Publication Link

https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

A Blessing or a Burden: The Impact of Overpopulation on Egypt’s Economic Growth (1969-2019)

Details

Type

Article

Created At

25 Dec 2024