302230

SCHEDULING OF REPETITIVE PROJECTS USING LINE OF BALANCE FOR DIFFERENT SCENARIOS OF ACTIVITIES’ DURATION UNCERTAINTY

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Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Abstract

This study deals with the effect of uncertainty of activities' duration and the number of crews on the total project duration of repetitive projects. Based on the most optimistic (a), most pessimistic (b), most likely (m), and predicted durations (t) of the Program Evaluation Review Technique (PERT) and using the Line of Balance (LOB) method. Six potential scenarios for activities' duration uncertainty were provided in an attempt to model various situations of uncertainty that a repetitive project may face. The number of crews was calculated based on the deadline of the project and the rate of work in each scenario. A case study project of ten repetitive units with six activities each was studied for all the six scenarios. In each scenario, the LOB charts were created and the delivery durations of all units and the total project duration were calculated. The results of all the scenarios were compared, showing that the most optimistic scenario has the fastest delivery duration for the total project, while the deterioration and most likely scenarios have the slowest delivery durations for the total project. Based on the six proposed scenarios, the mean (µ) and the standard deviation (σ) were calculated. Hence, based on any reasonable statistical distribution, the probability of finishing the project at a certain time could be calculated.

DOI

10.21608/ijaebs.2023.164910.1046

Keywords

Repetitive projects, LOB, uncertainty, Scheduling, Construction Management

Authors

First Name

Safaa

Last Name

Mohammed

MiddleName

Z.

Affiliation

Civil Engineering Department, International Academy for Engineering and Media Science, Giza, Egypt

Email

safaa_zeinhom@yahoo.com

City

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Orcid

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First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Tantawy

MiddleName

A.

Affiliation

Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering of Mataria, Helwan University, Cairo, Egypt

Email

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

Ahmed

Last Name

Elhakeem

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Construction and Building Engineering Department, Colleague of Engineering, Arab Academy for Science, Technology and Maritime Transport, Cairo, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

4

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

41658

Issue Date

2023-06-01

Receive Date

2022-09-24

Publish Date

2023-06-01

Page Start

87

Page End

99

Print ISSN

2682-2938

Online ISSN

2682-2946

Link

https://ijaebs.journals.ekb.eg/article_302230.html

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https://ijaebs.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=302230

Order

302,230

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,136

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

International Journal of Advanced Engineering and Business Sciences

Publication Link

https://ijaebs.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

SCHEDULING OF REPETITIVE PROJECTS USING LINE OF BALANCE FOR DIFFERENT SCENARIOS OF ACTIVITIES’ DURATION UNCERTAINTY

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Article

Created At

25 Dec 2024