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statistical estimation using dynamic panel models: Applied study.

Article

Last updated: 24 Dec 2024

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Abstract

This study aimed to use panel dynamic models (Panel NARDL, Panel ARDL) in statistical estimation to measure the effects of time variation and cross-sectional data simultaneously. its application is to measure the impact of GDP, exchange rate and oil price on inflation rate for North African countries (Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco) during the period from 1990 to 2022. Using Hsiao test was done for ensuring non-total homogeneity and non-homogeneity of parameters and constants of the panel model. By estimating both the Panel ARDL and Panel NARDL models for five countries, the results indicate that the Panel NARDL model is better than the Panel ARDL and it is more suitable for the data, it has the highest asymmetric error correction term (ECT (-1)) =57911.-, R2=0.601, and is lower in terms of the AIC=1.833 criterions. The empirical results clearly show also that only in the long run, the positive shocks of oil price and exchange rate affect inflation rate in the NARDL model. In the short run, there is no effect of exchange rate or oil price shocks in the NARDL model.

DOI

10.21608/jsst.2024.273785.1766

Keywords

Dynamic panel models, panel ARDL, Panel NARDL, exchange rate, Inflation Rate

Authors

First Name

مها

Last Name

توفيق

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

کلية التجارة جامعة طتطا

Email

maha.ibrahim@commerce.tanta.edu.eg

City

ينها

Orcid

-

First Name

عبد الرحيم

Last Name

بسيوني

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

الجامعه العمالية

Email

dr-abdelreheembassuny@outlook.com

City

کفر الشيخ

Orcid

-

Volume

25

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

46376

Issue Date

2024-07-01

Receive Date

2024-03-01

Publish Date

2024-07-01

Page Start

161

Page End

184

Print ISSN

2090-5327

Online ISSN

2682-3543

Link

https://jsst.journals.ekb.eg/article_346733.html

Detail API

https://jsst.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=346733

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346,733

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المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,048

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة البحوث المالية والتجارية

Publication Link

https://jsst.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

statistical estimation using dynamic panel models: Applied study.

Details

Type

Article

Created At

24 Dec 2024