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330903

An Accurate Method for Estimating the Parameters of the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution Using its Moments

Article

Last updated: 24 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

Mathematics & computer sciences and physics.

Abstract

Wind speed is a clean energy source that generates electricity. Researchers in this field always need an accurate statistical model to give them high-precision statistical measurements to build power-generation electric systems. This study presents a mathematical model for the maximum wind speed (MWS) in Port Said city by determining the fitting probability distribution. The moment-generating function is used to estimate the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (GEVD) parameters. The purpose is to obtain a single equation in a single parameter using average, variance, and median formulas of (GEVD), which can be solved numerically. The properties of the cumulative distribution function, method of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), percentiles, quartiles, nonlinear regression, Anderson-Darling test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, and Kruskal Wallis test are applied to assess the utility of the proposed distribution. The GEVD is compared with the three-parameter Weibull (W-3P) distribution and with other competing distributions. Finally, the GEVD is the best for modeling MWS data. The statistical measurements of MWS are derived with high accuracy. That will enable researchers to find the best estimation method of the distribution for the actual data.

DOI

10.21608/ajbas.2023.236538.1183

Keywords

Maximum wind speed, Generalized extreme value distribution, three-parameter Weibull distribution, Moment Generating function, Maximum likelihood estimation

Authors

First Name

Mohammed

Last Name

El Genidy

MiddleName

Mohammed

Affiliation

Department of Mathematics & Computer Science, Faculty of Science, Port Said University, Port Said, Egypt

Email

drmmg2016@yahoo.com

City

Port Said

Orcid

0000-0002-4657-3045

First Name

Esraa

Last Name

Hebeshy

MiddleName

Ahmed

Affiliation

Department of Mathematics & Computer Science, Faculty of Science, Port Said University, Port Said, Egypt

Email

esraahebeshy1@gmail.com

City

Port Said

Orcid

-

First Name

Beih

Last Name

El Desouky

MiddleName

El Sayed

Affiliation

Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, 35516 Mansoura, Egypt

Email

b_desouky@yahoo.com

City

Mansoura

Orcid

-

First Name

Rabab

Last Name

Gomaa

MiddleName

Sabry

Affiliation

Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, 35516 Mansoura, Egypt

Email

dr.rsg12@yahoo.com

City

Mansoura

Orcid

-

Volume

5

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

46985

Issue Date

2024-04-01

Receive Date

2023-09-14

Publish Date

2024-04-01

Page Start

190

Page End

207

Online ISSN

2682-275X

Link

https://ajbas.journals.ekb.eg/article_330903.html

Detail API

https://ajbas.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=330903

Order

330,903

Type

Review Article

Type Code

1,409

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Alfarama Journal of Basic & Applied Sciences

Publication Link

https://ajbas.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

An Accurate Method for Estimating the Parameters of the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution Using its Moments

Details

Type

Article

Created At

24 Dec 2024