Beta
319954

Implications of Exchange Rate Volatility on Agricultural Exports: The Case of Egypt

Article

Last updated: 24 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

-

Abstract

Contributing to the empirical literature of exchange rate implications on foreign trade, the study analyzed the impact of Egyptian pound depreciation on the revenues from agricultural exports, using Engle-Granger approach and Error Correction Mechanism (ECM). The results indicated that the exchange rate has a vitally important role in boosting the value of agricultural exports. As regards the short term, the exchange rate positively affects agricultural exports returns. On the other hand, the results showed that the error correction term of the long-term impact is statistically-significant, and also has a negative sign, as well as, it reflects a high speed of adjustment (0.45). This implies that about 45% from the imbalance of the relationship between the exchange rate and the agricultural exports value are corrected within one year. Moreover, the results of diagnostic and stability tests showed that the estimated model is free from the problems of normality, serial correlation and heteroskedasticity, additionally, the stability of coefficients is proven over the study period, which proven the reliability of the study results. Finally, the study concluded with a set of recommendations which revolve around the necessity of taking the dynamics of Egyptian pound exchange rate into account when designing the trade polices in general.

DOI

10.21608/jaess.2023.219363.1202

Keywords

exchange rate, agricultural exports, Engle-Granger approach, Engle-Granger Causality, Error Correction Mechanism (ECM)

Authors

First Name

Nouran

Last Name

Abdelgawwad‬

MiddleName

A. I.

Affiliation

Arab Academy for Science, Technology & Maritime Transport

Email

nabdelhamid@aast.edu

City

-

Orcid

0000-0002-4101-5431

Volume

14

Article Issue

9

Related Issue

43703

Issue Date

2023-09-01

Receive Date

2023-10-04

Publish Date

2023-09-01

Page Start

551

Page End

555

Print ISSN

2090-3634

Online ISSN

2090-3715

Link

https://jaess.journals.ekb.eg/article_319954.html

Detail API

https://jaess.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=319954

Order

10

Type

Original Article

Type Code

884

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Agricultural Economics and Social Sciences

Publication Link

https://jaess.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Implications of Exchange Rate Volatility on Agricultural Exports: The Case of Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

24 Dec 2024