340175

Assessing of Domain Change Sensitivity for Regional Climate Model simulation (Reg-Cm4.3) at Blue Nile Basin

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Civil Engineering

Abstract

Climate changes have a great impact on water resource availability and accessibility especially for downstream countries of transboundary rivers. Blue Nile Basin has a major contribution to the Nile basin yield. The fluctuation and changes in climate patterns in terms of precipitation in the Blue Nile Basin affect runoff and then drought and flood management strategies. The regional climate model (RCM) is a good tool for simulating and predicting the change in climate variables for the medium and long term but it has some limitations and uncertainties. Well selection of boundary conditions and parametrization of downscaling techniques for RCM will improve the prediction scenarios with limited uncertainty. This paper examines the sensitivity of changing the boundary conditions of three domains for the regional climate model “REG-CM4.3" at Blue Nile Basin with horizontal resolutions 25 * 25 km 2 for all domains. The projections outputs for all domains were investigated during the historical period from 1979 to 2005 using many statistical indicators such as Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), Percent bias (PBIAS), cumulative distribution function (CDF), the density function of probability (PDF), the root mean square error (RMSE), observed standard deviation ratio (RSR) ratio, number of wet and rainy spells, and the precipitation concentration index (PCI). The results show that the third Domain configuration will enhance the result of the Reg-CM4.3. The outputs of this study can be used to predict future precipitation and other climate variables till 2100.

DOI

10.21608/pserj.2024.246494.1277

Keywords

Blue Nile Basin, Climate Change, Reg-Cm4

Authors

First Name

Sherien

Last Name

Zahran

MiddleName

Ahmed

Affiliation

civil, engineering, El-Obour High Institute of engineering and technology , Qaliobia, Egypt.

Email

shreena@oi.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

0000-0003-0168-956x

First Name

Sohier

Last Name

Mansour

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Elmattaria Faculty of Engineering, Helwan, Cairo , Egypt

Email

mansoursoheir@yahoo.com

City

Cairo

Orcid

-

First Name

Dina

Last Name

Ibrahim

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Environment and Climate Change Research Institute, National Water Research Center, Cairo , Egypt

Email

eng-dina2010@hotmail.com

City

Cairo

Orcid

-

Volume

28

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

48838

Issue Date

2024-06-01

Receive Date

2023-11-11

Publish Date

2024-06-01

Page Start

93

Page End

109

Print ISSN

1110-6603

Online ISSN

2536-9377

Link

https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/article_340175.html

Detail API

https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=340175

Order

8

Type

Original Article

Type Code

813

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Port-Said Engineering Research Journal

Publication Link

https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Assessing of Domain Change Sensitivity for Regional Climate Model simulation (Reg-Cm4.3) at Blue Nile Basin

Details

Type

Article

Created At

24 Dec 2024