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344166

Autonomous Vehicles Probability-to-Choose and Public Usage Behavior Study in Developing Countries; Case Study: Port Said City

Article

Last updated: 24 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

Civil Engineering

Abstract

The rapid development of transportation technology has had a significant impact on human life, with Autonomous Vehicle Systems (AVs) emerging as one of the most popular and intriguing products in recent years. This study aims to capture user perspectives on AV usage by estimating a utility function using the Multinomial Logit (MNL) model, and comparing it with other conventional modes of transportation, such as ordinary vehicles (OVs). The second part of the study focuses on predicting the probability of AV usage, specifically in the context of Port Said City, an urban area characterized by heterogeneous mixed traffic and users. The usage probability is influenced by network capacity and assists decision-makers in determining the appropriate course of action for AVs in three different scenarios: "perfectly-need," "limited-need," and "no-need". The study findings indicate that AVs can be a viable solution when the capacity ratio exceeds 50%, as predicted by the usage function study. While the MNL modeling using Stated Preference (SP) surveys can estimate the number of trips, it alone is insufficient for making well-informed decisions. In summary, this research underscores the potential of AVs in transportation systems and provides valuable insights for policymakers and urban planners

DOI

10.21608/pserj.2024.260830.1309

Keywords

autonomous vehicle, capacity ratio, Developing countries, usage probability, traffic performance

Authors

First Name

marwa

Last Name

elbany

MiddleName

elsayed

Affiliation

CIVIL ENGINEERING, FACULTY OF ENGINEERING, PORT SAID UNIVERSITY, EGYPT

Email

mr_elbany@eng.psu.edu.eg

City

Port Said

Orcid

0000-0002-2820-3745

Volume

28

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

48838

Issue Date

2024-06-01

Receive Date

2024-01-11

Publish Date

2024-06-01

Page Start

50

Page End

63

Print ISSN

1110-6603

Online ISSN

2536-9377

Link

https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/article_344166.html

Detail API

https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=344166

Order

5

Type

Original Article

Type Code

813

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Port-Said Engineering Research Journal

Publication Link

https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Autonomous Vehicles Probability-to-Choose and Public Usage Behavior Study in Developing Countries; Case Study: Port Said City

Details

Type

Article

Created At

24 Dec 2024